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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. Wow
    Still have a hunch this will end up a SC hit. I think the N turn will be delayed.
  2. Wow
    More likely than not but could be biased after watching Irma continue to defy model consensus and keep pushing west.
  3. Wow
    This may have Hugo-like qualities as it may be pushing well inland with a more westerly than northerly path. This isn't like your usual storm hitting NC from a recurve path which keeps effects close to the coast. But unlike Hugo, this will be slowing down and could turn this into more of a flooding issue rather than the wind.
  4. Wow
    18z GFS farther SW compared to 12z at 54.. FWIW
  5. Wow
    It would bring a lot of widespread flooding if it's going to stall out over the middle of the state.
  6. Wow
    Wilmington to Winston-Salem...
  7. Wow
    Irma pushed me to buy one last year so it definitely works.
  8. Wow
    How'd you fare in the Superstorm?
  9. Wow
    This is sad.
  10. Wow
    Classic
  11. Wow
    21z SREF just got more serious
  12. Wow
    See ya in the banter thread. BTW an obs thread for this event has been created. We're that close.
  13. Wow
    And that's true. The only trouble area with temps will be at the surface mainly. The LP is weak and little WAA to worry about. It's either rain or a heavy, wet snow.
  14. Wow
    Well this is the GFS but it's feeling similar to last January's event where whoever is on the northern edge of the r/n is going to get a big wet snow storm.
  15. Wow
    18z GEFS getting serious.
  16. Wow
    NAM slower but juiced up!
  17. Wow
    The 0.75" QPF line runs along I-85 this run. Quite a jump. Just how well the low level cold air works in will be the big question.
  18. Wow
    I-85 corridor back on the r/s line. It's definitely wetter now.
  19. Wow
    GFS following the NAM trends so far
  20. Wow
    NW trend with the SREF
  21. Wow
    I think we're going to see a more consolidated LP with more moisture... it's slower due to this. Precip shield is farther north than any other run today so far.
  22. Wow
    A lot less leading precip by 12.. it's consolidating the energy back in TX
  23. Wow
    21z SREF looks like the 9z from today, which is good since the 15z was a step back. Still not CMC/UKMET level to say the least.
  24. Wow
    18z GFS precip axis shifted NW over the gulf coast with the sharper trough. Still east of everyone else but giving it an A for effort.
  25. Wow
    Definintely agreement on the leading wave for Friday to put down a light stripe from S MS thru CLT. Question is if the southern wave axis starts to turn more neutral and bring in a continuing slug of precip for most of Saturday like the NAM/CMC/UKMET/NAVGEM
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