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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. It would bring a lot of widespread flooding if it's going to stall out over the middle of the state.
  2. Wilmington to Winston-Salem...
  3. Irma pushed me to buy one last year so it definitely works.
  4. See ya in the banter thread. BTW an obs thread for this event has been created. We're that close.
  5. And that's true. The only trouble area with temps will be at the surface mainly. The LP is weak and little WAA to worry about. It's either rain or a heavy, wet snow.
  6. Well this is the GFS but it's feeling similar to last January's event where whoever is on the northern edge of the r/n is going to get a big wet snow storm.
  7. The 0.75" QPF line runs along I-85 this run. Quite a jump. Just how well the low level cold air works in will be the big question.
  8. I-85 corridor back on the r/s line. It's definitely wetter now.
  9. I think we're going to see a more consolidated LP with more moisture... it's slower due to this. Precip shield is farther north than any other run today so far.
  10. A lot less leading precip by 12.. it's consolidating the energy back in TX
  11. 21z SREF looks like the 9z from today, which is good since the 15z was a step back. Still not CMC/UKMET level to say the least.
  12. 18z GFS precip axis shifted NW over the gulf coast with the sharper trough. Still east of everyone else but giving it an A for effort.
  13. Definintely agreement on the leading wave for Friday to put down a light stripe from S MS thru CLT. Question is if the southern wave axis starts to turn more neutral and bring in a continuing slug of precip for most of Saturday like the NAM/CMC/UKMET/NAVGEM
  14. Yeah, the 9z run really deepening the southern wave. Trend is clear that this thing is getting juiced up.
  15. Still a big question with the progression of the s/w in the southern jet and it's interaction with the polar jet as to how it plays out with the LP and precip. Need a few more runs. It's tricky.
  16. NAM is going to run a southern s/w low from the GOM. It's seperated and pulling in the precip shield. IF this is true, it would be more of a Saturday event with a singular low travelling up the coast than a zipper low on Friday. This is better for more W areas given the lack of HP.
  17. No it's just delayed.. it's putting more stock in the s/w back in TX.
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