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Everything posted by Wow
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I think it's just the precip shield. The low itself is now slightly south at 36
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I gave up on it after Feb '14.
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It really has been quite consistent. Here's a trend loop of the last TWENTY runs of the FV3 total snowfall...
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This is nearly all snow north of 85... transition zone south of there
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Yes.. reversed itself from the 12z output. Good to see.
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FV3 trended south and colder
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Total precip FV3... precip shifted south a bit.. barely making it into C VA
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It's all green because the sfc temps are just above freezing. The mid levels are all below. That's a good sign. In fact, 850 temps are colder at 54
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NAM looking much better.
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thru 90 hrs:
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850 temps are at or colder however
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Agree.. the transition of temps through the column as CAD builds and precip advances isn't going to get shaken out until it's nearly go time
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12z GFS a trending back stronger with the CAD high
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All GEFS members in general agreement..
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FV3 still in line with prev run for the most part. Mercy that's a lot of precip.
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football is gonna be awesome to watch this weekend
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Don't look at the snow maps, look at QPF
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Yup.. CMC finally got a clue. Even has the UL bonus snow on Tuesday rolling through.
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Yep, and I've always noticed the UL progression most always trends stronger at the last minute with a cutoff with this big snowstorms.. always the last piece of the puzzle
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GFS definitely trending toward its successor WRT the upper level low swing through early Tuesday
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No, it's not. It's pretty much on par with the prev run thru 96
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It's the GFS, and at this range what's the surprise?
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The northern s/w is less strung out and more defined like the NAM... that's likely given the resolution. I think the late phase and cutoff UL solution is looking better.
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Pretty minor differences at this range.. within 20-30 miles by the looks of it.. overall setup is similar
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At 72, the low is in the same place.. Minor differences.. perhaps a hair more north with the precip sheild