Wow
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I've had a few quick sprinkles today.. But still 0.00 in the rain gauge.
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That was the last fishing pier in Atlantic Beach. Sportman's pier was closed back in '06
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Good news is the models seem to keep her moving west rather than a stall and turn SW.. good news at least for the coast. More headache for inland though.
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A foot+ of rain over most of NC per GFS
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Well that looks interesting
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FV3 GFS is Wilmington to Myrtle Beach to Greenville SC
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Good thing here is it'll be accelerating as it comes further inland since it stalled earlier.
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Florence decided really late to pull a Hugo track.
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Well this one is going to hard to pin down.
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The GFS gets a clue.. poor thing
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Don't fear the reaper
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Obviously it depends. This is a very difficult storm to model with it potentially stalling out. Depending where it drifts will determine a lot where the biggest rainfalls occur, obviously. Wind-wise, a northern SC hit would likely be the worst case.
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Indeed.. there is still a good bit of complexity here to easily shift things 100 or more miles in either direction. SC to VA are all equally in the crosshairs IMO
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Not being political here.. just a friendly mockery of his tweeting skills. Take care down there.
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Indeed. While seeing the 0z Euro precip totals for WNC was quite a breathtaking thing to see this morning, in reality I don't want to see that again on a model run. I'll gladly take a nice soaking rain with some gusty winds on the west side.
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After Irma, I'm still giving equal chances from CHS to the OBX
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I know we've heard the name Hugo a few times with this one, but if the Euro is anywhere near correct, this would be far, far worse than Hugo for WNC with the flooding.
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The Irma experience is on my mind with that call.
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Still have a hunch this will end up a SC hit. I think the N turn will be delayed.
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More likely than not but could be biased after watching Irma continue to defy model consensus and keep pushing west.
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This may have Hugo-like qualities as it may be pushing well inland with a more westerly than northerly path. This isn't like your usual storm hitting NC from a recurve path which keeps effects close to the coast. But unlike Hugo, this will be slowing down and could turn this into more of a flooding issue rather than the wind.
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18z GFS farther SW compared to 12z at 54.. FWIW
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It would bring a lot of widespread flooding if it's going to stall out over the middle of the state.
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Wilmington to Winston-Salem...
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Irma pushed me to buy one last year so it definitely works.
