ajr
-
Posts
379 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by ajr
-
The 12z GFS/GEFS/FV3 suite is good for NC/SC around March 4-6... starting to show something promising with consistency.
-
850 level looks cold enough
-
I really think this may be an RDU-FAY special
-
From what I saw posted elsewhere, 6z EPS looks even better than 0z for Carolina folks. Maybe this isn’t a drill folks!
-
18z GFS took a nice step in our favor for 1/20 - looks like maybe less interaction with the northern energy keeping the system a little further south?
-
Light sleet just started up in Chapel Hill -- random surprise when I opened the door just now Edit: Already over
-
Just for fun, the 12z FV3 has about the mother of all snowstorms out in fantasy land around hours 324-348 -- spots of 2"+ QPF and all snow through SE NC into SC.
-
12z ICON drops about 0.5" of ice around RDU/IGX
-
18z GEFS warmed up a little and seems to like the Miller B/slider pattern with transition north of Savannah
-
Earlier phase too it looks like - MA should be happy
-
Verbatim looks to be around the northern border counties on the GFS -- obviously it's going to move around a bunch the next few days
-
That's a CAD signature if I ever saw one (shame the 850s are still warm though)
-
GFS turned into a southern slider.. looks like mainly driven by the jetstream flattening out and good confluence up north. Hopefully not a blip and trends continue for NC/SC
-
Crankywxguy’s blog has some helpful info — essentially it’ll all come down to how the waves phase and progress.. the northern pacific is complex right now with multiple waves/interactions. May be best to wait a few days for the pieces to develop before going all-in one way or another.
-
Yep - Miller A didn’t show up until a few days before if I remember correctly.
-
6z FV3 fairly similar to the GFS
-
6z GFS is an apps runner still - looks like the northern stream energy drags the whole system north with a big phase over New York into New England
-
The 0z euro held steady with snow (light mainly) for CLT to RDU and points north and west
-
Random but why is the GFS still active? I thought it was supposed to change to the FV3 by now?
-
12z FV3 with several interesting possibilities..
-
-
I suppose it may be quiet here for a little while..
-
Euro says it’s on!
-
Looks like snow is building behind the ice band
-
Really nice snowfall around Duke Hospital - a little more than an inch on the ground and treated roads are snowed over.
