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About ryan1234

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Charlotte, NC

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  1. Spoke too soon, and this appears to cover a pretty large area. Still awaiting the graphic.
  2. I'm surprised that there are basically no watches for the Piedmont of NC and SC. Only the extreme northern counties, thus far. Especially considering the southern portion of the line and the discrete ones in GA look a lot more eerie than the northern portion. Of course, that could change.
  3. The sun has been peaking out for a solid 4 hours. I’m currently sitting at 83 and the heat index is 87. Never thought I’d be saying that on Halloween. Definitely not good as these storms look to occur during peak heating. I have a sinking feeling that things are going to get pretty nasty. Definitely a spooky situation. .
  4. I think a lot also depends on how much the instability is available. I have seen many breaks in the clouds in the CLT metro. If I recall, it was supposed to be cloudy all day. But yes, it's more difficult to get severe weather after sunset, but it's not unheard of. Especially with all the other ingredients that are coming together. It'll be interesting to see what the SPC does for their next update. The HRRR model that Brad posted shows some impressive rotation in these storms.
  5. Has anyone checked out the forecast discussion for this week? GSP is using some pretty ominous wording for this front on Thursday. Looks like it could get nasty. .
  6. It's just unbelievable. September has always been a dry month, but this is just getting ridiculous. If we don't get a pattern change or a tropical system around here we are going to be talking about forest fires before too long. At some point, something's gotta give!
  7. Just think, by the end of September both Phoenix and LA will probably receive more rain than most of the Southeast. I hate September! .
  8. It’ll be interesting to see how this thing develops. At the very least it would be nice to get some beneficial tropical rains from it. Although if you read the main tropical forum, lots of people are pulling for a NE or MA landfall... it’s getting kinda crazy over there... .
  9. Models are still very inconsistent, IMO. I definitely wouldn’t put any stock into any particular one as of now. This ridge is going to be the ultimate deciding factor as to where this things goes. If the ridge gets weaker or moves east, it’s going to have major implications on the the track. There are still many model runs to go. And so much times for things to change. We saw what happened with Irma and how much of a mess that was. .
  10. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Moderate risk has been expanded.
  11. Yeah, that really surprised me. I would have assumed that there would have been at least a high risk for tornadoes and a moderate risk for EF-2's+. Even within the squall line.
  12. One thing to watch is that line in FL. Not sure how likely it is, but it could affect what occurs farther north.
  13. I too was wondering that as well. I don't think it will, but I am merely an amateur.
  14. I really am not liking this sun in the Southern Piedmont. And the fact that there seems to be a lull of any precip around Spartanburg, extending to the SC Midlands. Winds are gusting to around 20 as well. Very ominous indeed.
  15. It's coming. I literally had a good half an hour of blue sky and sun. And it's still out as I am typing this. I definitely didn't expect that this morning and that's only going to shoot those CAPE values up.