F5TornadoF5 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 After 45min of light snow in Syosset, back to .6 visibility and borderline moderate snow. Looks like nice bands working from NJ coast into Queens on east now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 hours ago, jm1220 said: A few flurries in Long Beach. Good luck all-a decent to significant event still looks likely for most of us. Hopefully the new HRRR is right and we see the snow head more north than east from here. It's really just time to watch the radar and nowcast. Here's my final guess: Central Park: 3.5" JFK: 5.3" ISP: 7.5" MTP: 8.8" EWR: 3.2" BLM: 5.8" FRG: 6.4" HPN: 2.4" MMU: 0.7" SWF: 0.5" My backyard: 6.0" MTP with see 12-16" IMO. The rest looks good to me. Maybe slightly more at ISP 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Gfs finally gives in. What a awful model Just awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: MTP with see 12-16" IMO. The rest looks good to me. Maybe slightly more at ISP Just awful Yea ,and also, its not like the Euro called this either. NAM once again proving it can be quite accurate "at times". Even was correct in the SE with the warm noses that kept precip a mixed bag for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, ILoveWinter said: Yea ,and also, its not like the Euro called this either. NAM once again proving it can be quite accurate "at times". Meh. The NAM sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, Rjay said: Meh. The NAM sucks. True but it does have its moments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Meh. The NAM sucks. You're going to have to deal with your NAM hatred. It hasn't been terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 33 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: NJZ012-016>019-072300- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170107T2100Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170107T2300Z/ MIDDLESEX-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY 1110 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...THE NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE CORRIDOR IN SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EAST OF THE NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST BY THE EARLY EVENING. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON WHEN SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS TODAY WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. EVEN INTERSTATES OR HIGHWAYS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM. Bingo! Time to chuck em! So excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: True but it does have its moments. UKMET is my go to model. Handled storm very well. Heaviest snow of day here in Syosset. Visibility less than half a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 This is what I was talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 We must be having the worst snow growth in the entire region because I'm not even 1/2" so far and it's been snowing for a good 3.5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Down to light snow uws looks like best banding just east of here setting up just as expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: This is what I was talking about. Wow. You'll get a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I know its nowcast but has CMC and Ukmet lates come out? Is it west or east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Really coming down now, big fat flakes too. Getting plenty of mileage with ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Lighter snow this hour from last with visibilities in the 1/2 to 1 mile range at the airports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 this is how our 11:30 live shot looked. Absolutely ripping here in stafford Twp by LBI on route 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 In watchung nj at wprk kinda meh flake size we are intermittent between moderate and light snow. 1" new snow. Hoping for 4" expecting less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: We must be having the worst snow growth in the entire region because I'm not even 1/2" so far and it's been snowing for a good 3.5 hours. Warm ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1" so far with moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Have about an inch. Expecting .75-1in hour rates for next few hours. Moderate snow falling in Syosset. Visibility .4 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jr461 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 After a period of moderate snow things have lightened up considerably. Bergen Rockland border near Chestnut Ridge. Radar also shows shrinkage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Cfa said: Warm ground? It's dry air in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Nyc east about to get rocked. Its on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Cfa said: Warm ground? probably 19 in the bronx so no the ground is not warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 if that 6 inches happens in nyc it probably will be in brooklyn or queens and not in manhattan or the bronx... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, jr461 said: After a period of moderate snow things have lightened up considerably. Bergen Rockland border near Chestnut Ridge. Radar also shows shrinkage That's not a good radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, nycwinter said: if that 6 inches happens in nyc it probably will be in brooklyn or queens and not in manhattan or the bronx... You can kind of see where the heavy stuff is setting up down along the NJ coast and DE. West of there will have some decent snow too but in that band and east is where the totals over 6 should be. That'll translate NE into our area, so maybe Brooklyn on east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, nycwinter said: probably 19 in the bronx so no the ground is not warm... It might be that cold now, but it's been pretty mild lately, there's likely some residual warmth. The ground isn't frozen (at least here it isn't). I know snow can accumulate on warm surfaces, but it doesn't happen at the same rate as snow piling up on cold surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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