powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Good side of this is not a lot of rain here, lol. Full dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You can see why the Euro goes crazy...that trailing s/w actually gets too close and the thing basically does a phase with it so it tears the storm N with a sharp left turn. The flatter solutions keep them more spaced. It's also still on the more amped side of guidance...for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You can see why the Euro goes crazy...that trailing s/w actually gets too close and the thing basically does a phase with it so it tears the storm N with a sharp left turn. The flatter solutions keep them more spaced. Yeah that's too bad. I thought it would flatten the flow a bit, but dam...look how quick the srn one turns neggy. That's been the theme no matter what. No blocking FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Good side of this is not a lot of rain here, lol. Full dryslot. Your good fortune was my misfortune here, It was heavy rain here verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 At least it's pretty fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yeah he mentioned it, an hour after I mentioned it in the same thread. But who's keeping track anyway Jesus, apparently you. I just saw him mention it. But alter my quote to reflect you if it will enable you to sleep better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12z Euro not backing down, Going to be worse then 0zDr No castrates PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The H850 0C is over Bradford, PA. A few hundred tickles east and we're snowy. The s/w comes ashore the Pac coast 00z Sunday. We're going to need to see some big changes by then. You can see where the EURO is too amped, and it blends with the other models into a HV Runner. Even a blend is too far west though. Need some changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Dr No castrates PF He said NO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 lol at the "it's coming east posts" An ugly setup and an ugly solution. Still room for PF I hope. Its coming east doesn't mean its going to be a big snow event here. I still think it is. Classic euro...amp happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Vim Toot! snownh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Wow - that is an utterly different solution compared to all other guidance (save the UK) I've seen of these 12z runs... Hemispherically it is different .. the entire wave length between the west and east coasts is bodily shifted west of the other guidance by some 300 naut miles and is so everywhere - unilaterally. is it right - well, it is the Euro and it is D4.5 ...that trough depth in the E is right at the temporal boundary for when that particular guidance's lead accuracy gets depressingly wonderful ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Huge hit western NY though. BUF looks prime. Of course I leave upstate NY the day before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Dr No castrates PF Don't even want to know what it does to you then lol... That wasn't too bad, rain amounts are pretty light. It has 2-3" of snow then 0.25-0.5" rain. We've had much worse events this season haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Another 1980s run from the Euro...brings in an arctic shot right after the cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 perhaps this has happened ... and I am merely unaware... but, has the Euro EVER bucked trend in favor of a f snow storm ever - ahahahha. Man, I swear those ECMWF scientist have a spy network perusing the web ... looking for doe-eyed snow believers to terrorize and maim in a Schadenfreudian lube fest ... Seriously, I don't know what it is, but the "Dr No" fun parlance and mystique ... that's f real man. That's not just mystique. It's not Dr Yes for a reason - . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 perhaps this has happened ... and I am merely unaware... but, has the Euro EVER bucked trend in favor of a f snow storm ever - ahahahha. Man, I swear those ECMWF scientist have a spy network perusing the web ... looking for doe-eyed snow believers to terrorize and maim in a Schadenfreudian lube fest ... Seriously, I don't know what it is, but the "Dr No" fun parlance and mystique ... that's f real man. That's not just mystique. It's not Dr Yes for a reason - . lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Don't even want to know what it does to you then lol... That wasn't too bad, rain amounts are pretty light. It has 2-3" of snow then 0.25-0.5" rain. We've had much worse events this season haha. castration for you, snatched. I was never ever in the game at anytime but you were playing Center forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro looks like it flips most of Upstate NY over to rain at some point too except maybe Buffalo. They'll need to refresh the pack once the LE dies down later. At least there hasn't been a pack to worry about at all this season here in ENY Of course I leave upstate NY the day before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Agreed. Some of those algorithms are just head scratchers. But it doesn't matter until we get closer anyway.Bufkit is pretty accurate GFS warm lower levels sometimes actually skews it down. Anyways congrats LEK George Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Bufkit is pretty accurate GFS warm lower levels sometimes actually skews it down. Anyways congrats LEK George BUFKIT has like 3 different snow algorithms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Nice little model war we've got going on. Euro/Ukie/JMA apps runners vs GFS/CMC/Navgem which take it over NYC/CT. Then there's the NAM, the DGEX is probably a blizzard for all based on the 12z NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The GEFS mean isn't as good as it looks. Lots of rainers on the individuals with a handful of weak misses east and offshore. Not a lot of middle ground solutions in that that produce snow for SNE (after any initial overrunning). Looks bad for ENY too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 BUFKIT has like 3 different snow algorithms.Cobb method. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The Euro is so insanely deep it results in the follow up clipper being in South Carolina LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It is complete sh*t is what it is. This winter couldn't be any worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 castration for you, snatched. I was never ever in the game at anytime but you were playing Center forward Haha I think everyone but the folks up here thought we were in the game . We at least know how winter 2015-16 goes by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Haha I think everyone but the folks up here thought we were in the game . We at least know how winter 2015-16 goes by now. Yep. I said bet the streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 We were too far northwest for all of the coastals and now we may be too far east as the bulk of Upstate NY gets clocked. I'm at the point where a sandwich event snow -> sleet/ice -> snow would be ok. I'll take it. LOL Euro of course is a washout even here. Euro looks like it flips most of Upstate NY over to rain too at some point too except maybe Buffalo. They'll need to refresh the pack once the LE dies down later. At least there hasn't been a pack to worry about at all this season here in ENY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 perhaps this has happened ... and I am merely unaware... but, has the Euro EVER bucked trend in favor of a f snow storm ever - ahahahha. Man, I swear those ECMWF scientist have a spy network perusing the web ... looking for doe-eyed snow believers to terrorize and maim in a Schadenfreudian lube fest ... Seriously, I don't know what it is, but the "Dr No" fun parlance and mystique ... that's f real man. That's not just mystique. It's not Dr Yes for a reason - . Well, more often than not, verification is boring....and more often than not, the euro displays what will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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