moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 We are saying the same thing. All I meant was the high isn't going to be centered 300 miles west. I actually think the low will trend east. It has enough real estate to trend east a lot and still give us primarily a soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It has enough real estate to trend east a lot and still give us primarily a soaking. You can't really say "us" when speaking to someone in E Mass in this scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Haha I have some EPS runs saved from January showing all of NNE getting like 30" each run all the time. The mean maps have been horrible for snow maps.these are op runs for this storm. I have this ongoing theory about the GFS LR runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You can't really say "us" when speaking to someone in E Mass in this scenario Classic MPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It has enough real estate to trend east a lot and still give us primarily a soaking. Yes. Longitude always has been favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 There are a few reasons for this track. One being a nice lobe to our northeast. Not just the flow out in srn Canada. Jbenedet had a theory about he PNA dropping and AO rising. While these usually promote cutters, the AO can be such to help cause destructive interference too. But you really play with fire if you hope for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 That high just scoots east so damn fast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Pray for the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 There are a few reasons for this track. One being a nice lobe to our northeast. Not just the flow out in srn Canada. Jbenedet had a theory about he PNA dropping and AO rising. While these usually promote cutters, the AO can be such to help cause destructive interference too. But you really play with fire if you hope for that. In a situation like this, defer to the seasonal tenor in the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 S+ for JI and R+ for Ray. He'll love that. This is not 2010. http://giphy.com/gifs/lionsgatemovies-26tPmrPE9dzaC5Ixq Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 forky not on board and he has been unstoppable this season embrace the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 This just shows how narrow a zone it is that will get real snows. The band will be like 50 miles wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You can't really say "us" when speaking to someone in E Mass in this scenario Another poster uses "us" and "we" to describe outcomes for one specific spot in CT, so probably ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Ukie looks a bit east, but not significantly so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Another poster uses "us" and "we" to describe outcomes for one specific spot in CT, so probably ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Another poster uses "us" and "we" to describe outcomes for one specific spot in CT, so probably ok. wwkd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 forky not on board and he has been unstoppable this season embrace the rain Aside from thinking he wouldn't see any snow headed into the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 forky not on board and he has been unstoppable this season embrace the snow fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Must be some weenie GEFS members because there is a good front end job before rain in a lot of spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 This just shows how narrow a zone it is that will get real snows. The band will be like 50 miles wide. I don't think so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12z GFS looked good up there for you guys, You're probably in the best position for tues as it stands right now Yup. Further nw toward pf is the best. Goes from worse to worst as you head se. So unusual this year. Gc gets screwed in the squeeze play. Might eek out a few at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12z GEFS looked not to bad actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yup. Further nw toward pf is the best. Goes from worse to worst as you head se. So unusual this year. Gc gets screwed in the squeeze play. Might eek out a few at least. wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Regardless of what happens Tuesday, Monday shaping up to be a snowy day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yup. Further nw toward pf is the best. Goes from worse to worst as you head se. So unusual this year. Gc gets screwed in the squeeze play. Might eek out a few at least. :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 forky not on board and he has been unstoppable this season embrace the rain Not really that, but who would be on-board for this event? Someone will get snow, whether it's portions of New England or Cleveland/Buffalo, it's way too early to even think about the final outcome. The band of good snows in this will be very narrow unless a good CCB gets going. GFS shows it and Euro did too, but the GGEM keeps coming in with like a 30 mile wide area of QPF west of the 850mb freezing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yup. Further nw toward pf is the best. Goes from worse to worst as you head se. So unusual this year. Gc gets screwed in the squeeze play. Might eek out a few at least. Well, I would not write off the berks and WMA either right now, West is best in this setup, And the models took a step in that direction today, Maybe they were to far west the last couple days and now will move back east some, Time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yup. Further nw toward pf is the best. Goes from worse to worst as you head se. So unusual this year. Gc gets screwed in the squeeze play. Might eek out a few at least. This is anyone's game right now. And I'm not NW of you...I'm like due north. We will be in a similar boat I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Not really that, but who would be on-board for this event? Someone will get snow, whether it's portions of New England or Cleveland/Buffalo, it's way too early to even think about the final outcome. The band of good snows in this will be very narrow unless a good CCB gets going. GFS shows it and Euro did too, but the GGEM keeps coming in with like a 30 mile wide area of QPF west of the 850mb freezing line. Eh, I would not worry to much at what the GGEM shows, Come verification time it won't be around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 wut? That looks like a real weenie map. 12" on the GFS to the NH border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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