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Feb 15th-17th. Just believe it or leave it.


peteradiator

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For his location, I don't think I agree with that. I also wouldn't rule out a benchmark storm quite yet.

 

 

Unlikely, but it's possible.

 

If this shifted like 100-150 miles east, I don't think it would be shocking at this lead time at all. That said, I completely agree that the favored position at this time is west. There's more room for west vs east...of the goal posts in this storm, like 80+% of the area is a rainer for us.

What I mean is that the high is not going to end up centered N of ME, as opposed to 50/50.

As I have said before, there are other ways....branching high, sheared out system, track over CC.....but those aren't going to end up 1-2' of snow.

JMO.

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