BristowWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 OTS at 168 off of GA GA? That sounds not that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 At this point, it's within range of the other models. This is a victory for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Yeah, a little suppressed but not bad. Decent hit my area.. Agreed, not bad at all. Waiting on the EPS which I think is still a better tool at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'll be interested to see if this run's Euro Parallel gives the area a snowstorm, which would be the 3rd run in a row to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Great hit for the Carolinas, I can't tell if precip makes it into VA cause I don't have pay maps. 850 line straddles NC/VA border, so it's not a good hit for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Precip reaches DC fwiw, SLP placement is similar to last run, but precip is further north.Better to our south at this range than to our north imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Just thought I'd post the cmc from tropical tidbits so everyone knows what we're talking about... If you are going to post these maps... I suggest you pick the Northeast Region for a closeup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Happy fishing! Trough looked way too positively tilted from the 500 map Mitch posted. No surprise in the outcome. Hug the GFS / CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 RIC jack. Looks like 4". DT likes this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 It's OK but Dr. No never gets fully on board with anything good it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Suppressed storms after rainers. Strong nino! Dr no is in the building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 So the GFS is an amped up, bowling ball crusher that crushes N/W, and the Euro is a slightly suppressed weaker storm that is significant for Central. I think people should be focused on that they both give DC SNOW at this range for what feels like the first time this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 If you are going to post these maps... I suggest you pick the Northeast Region for a closeup http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=eus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016011612&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=599 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Better to our south at this range than to our north imho. yep we always have a shot when they are modeled south. very intriguing developments today. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Suppressed storms after rainers. Strong nino! Dr no is in the building. I saw you coming all the way from Sterling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 850 line straddles NC/VA border, so it's not a good hit for them Oops, big rain hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=eus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016011612&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=599 More like this link http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016011612&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 GEFS mean looks a lot like the 12z Euro through Day 6-7, much more so than the GFS op. Then GEFS somehow pulls it up the coast while the Euro sends it OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I saw you coming all the way from Sterling I don't hate the window I'm just not sure what we are looking at yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 yep we always have a shot when they are modeled south. very intriguing developments today. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Euro has modeled a good number of snowstorms this year to our south and they have all failed. Eventually, one has to hit I guess, but I'll believe it when one finally happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 More like this link http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016011612&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=32 Oops, I knew that. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I don't hate the window I'm just not sure what we are looking at yet.Me neither. I'd prefer the inch that the euro drops vs a rainstorm while PA northward get destroyed. Para will save us.Seems like highs have ended up weaker lately as opposed to earlier in the season. This is good for the euro and bad for the gfs. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Me neither. I'd prefer the inch that the euro drops vs a rainstorm while PA northward get destroyed. Para will save us. Seems like highs have ended up weaker lately as opposed to earlier in the season. This is good for the euro and bad for the gfs. Haha we lost the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 we lost the JMA That's progress.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I am betting the Euro ensembles will be markedly better than the OP on this run . Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'll be interested to see if this run's Euro Parallel gives the area a snowstorm, which would be the 3rd run in a row to do that. I don't have 0z yet but Bob said it was decent... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I don't have 0z yet but Bob said it was decent... Yeah 0z was a good hit, 6" for us, 990 off the NC/VA coast. But I was referring to today's 12z Euro Para; curious to see if it shows another OP run with a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Yeah 0z was a good hit, 6" for us, 990 off the NC/VA coast. But I was referring to today's 12z Euro Para; curious to see if it shows another OP run with a hit. Not sure when it comes out...It usually comes out at 6pm or so on Vista,...but doesnt always show up...not sure what time on Wxbell...0z never showed up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 12z EPS decently west of 0z EPS....nice run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 12z EPS decently west of 0z EPS....nice run... Thanks - hunch was right. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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