ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 yep. nice hit. But the rain is torrential after that Yup. But like Bob said i am riding the Rgem and Ukie. Let's hope for 6" with a glaze to lock it in and not much rain and i will be happier than a pig in s**t. According to the GFS it flips to rain between 8-9 p.m. here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 5-7" on the GFS... not bad. WSWs tomorrow morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Funny how we all view the runs. I thought the gfs was a step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Gfs barely makes it above 32 for me. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Gfs barely makes it above 32 for me. Interesting Loudoun milfs will have to paint the white stones a different color Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 #snowtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Gfs has a warm bias and verification scores are bad. Short range is better. Rgem is the best. Ukie has been money all year. GFS looks like the RGEM with the slp out to our west but it disagrees with PSUHoffman and says that rain out to the west comes through after the switch hopefully the colder/snowier trend continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Proves all that s*** is meaningless It is wild isn't it. This winter adds ammo to the idea that absolutes, like a crazy +NAO/AO being death for cold, are just not absolute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It is wild isn't it. This winter adds ammo to the idea that absolutes, like a crazy +NAO/AO, are just not absolute. Ma nature will do what she wants when she wants.. the beauty of chaos That's one thing that always brings me back.. you never know what might happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Funny how we all view the runs. I thought the gfs was a step back Thickness values seem to be a step back at least. Surface is cold at the onset with heavy precipitation. I honestly don't know how to feel about this run. Lots of snow then lots of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 what time does the Ukie some out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 what time does the Ukie some out? 11:40 or so... so in 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Thickness values seem to be a step back at least. Surface is cold at the onset with heavy precipitation. I honestly don't know how to feel about this run. Lots of snow then lots of rain. thx debs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It is wild isn't it. This winter adds ammo to the idea that absolutes, like a crazy +NAO/AO, are just not absolute. If you want a ku then it is almost a must! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 11:40 or so... so in 30 mins Thanks... So now we gots some downtime... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I love the title of this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Thanks... So now we gots some downtime... I am having a drink, a smoke and catching up on Jay's Wintry Mix FB page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Every 0z model so far has been WSW criteria verbatim. Let's have the UK follow and lock this up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This bully boy arctic air is going to plop itself right along the coast and tell that low- "Send your moist package into my ice box" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 GFS looks like the RGEM with the slp out to our west but it disagrees with PSUHoffman and says that rain out to the west comes through after the switch hopefully the colder/snowier trend continues It does but the column is closer to notsogreat when it counts on the run. Isorhermal is a 4 letter word. At least we're under 48 now. Hopefully things just wobble and don't fall down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This bully boy arctic air is going to plop itself right along the coast and tell that low- "Send your moist package into my ice box"I lol'ed pretty hard. Well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This bully boy arctic air is going to plop itself right along the coast and tell that low- "Send your moist package into my ice box" Correction - send your package into my moist ice box Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It does but the column is closer to notsogreat when it counts on the run. Isorhermal is a 4 letter word. At least we're under 48 now. Hopefully things just wobble and don't fall down. It's all semantics.. lets not split hairs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 OT: Gulf Low 144 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's all semantics.. lets not split hairs I wish I had em' to split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I wish I had em' to split if like me everywhere but the cabeza Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 OT: Gulf Low 144 hrs I think our biggest opportunity of the year comes as we transition into a warmer pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Ma nature will do what she wants when she wants.. the beauty of chaos That's one thing that always brings me back.. you never know what might happen weren't you crowing a month ago about how this winter showed its hand back in December and essentially canceled it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Damn, gfs is nearly 2" of qpf for dca for the event.Torrential rain after the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 weren't you crowing a month ago about how this winter showed its hand back in December and essentially canceled it? yeah.. and here we are in late Feb 4 inches of snow later. I don't count my chickens before they hatch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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