yoda Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 90 looks very nice 93 looks VERY nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Looks better than the 6Z run. DC into good snow on the ground by h93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Almost identical to the NAM. Its a very nice storm for us!!!! Edit: It's a frikin Crush Job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 0.6" QPF by hr 93. Going to be a big run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It's a big hit...7-8"+...The track makes me nervous.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It's a big hit...7-8"+...The track makes me nervous.... Yeah being in the bullseye with the perfect track at 90h makes me a little nervous too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It's a big hit...7-8"+...The track makes me nervous.... It's close but so far no guidance is showing enough weakness in confluence to track overhead..yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah being in the bullseye with the perfect track at 90h makes me a little nervous too. not so much that, as it is rain/sleet for richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Three runs in a row showing a WSW-type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Ugh, we need this to speed up or slow down. SnowTV is not quite as interesting in the middle of the night. Its actually better IMO when it snows at night; no "sun angle" to deal with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Rain/Sleet Richmond...terrific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Its actually better IMO when it snows at night; no "sun angle" to deal with Yeah this is just about perfect. And I thought snowTV was just silly non accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah this is just about perfect. And I thought snowTV was just silly non accumulating snow. It is, apparently he is confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It's close but so far no guidance is showing enough weakness in confluence to track overhead..yet... And if it mixes so be it....I'd rather have a slug come and crush me, and mix part of the time, than a weak, strung out 0.13" QPF monstrosity.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 What the what? Yeah, not sure what hes looking at, starts at 4pm and is snowing through the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 With such a marginal winter, complaining about timing of a 6-10" event is crazy talk. ETA: this is not SnowTV unless you're watching the spice channel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 not so much that, as it is rain/sleet for richmond Wish the high was building to our north. It is holding pretty firm, but slightly weakening during the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 In the city on Sunday. So maybe will be driving back in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah being in the bullseye with the perfect track at 90h makes me a little nervous too. F*** it. We don't have a raging +NAO, and it's southern stream energy running over a cold airmass. It's not complicated, so the models should have a decent handle on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 And if it mixes so be it....I'd rather have a slug come and crush me, and mix part of the time, than a weak, strung out 0.13" QPF monstrosity.... Everything is pointing towards a decent slug of front running stuff that's well in advance of any slp approach. That part is a beautiful thing. Column is in perfect shape at onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I actually prefer snow in the day and don't really worry about sun angle till Feb 15th, but if it's a 6-10" storm, I'm not complaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Loving this run. If it can just hold for more than 3 runs in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah, not sure what hes looking at, starts at 4pm and is snowing through the evening yes...the heart of the storm is like 5pm to 3am....that timing couldn't be more perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 F*** it. We don't have a raging +NAO, and it's southern stream energy running over a cold airmass. It's not complicated, so the models should have a decent handle on it. I'm in. I hope you're right! I also like that some arctic air shows up right after, with a fresh snowpack we could see some really cold temps. It looks like the -20 C line gets to DC at 12z Tuesday. That would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I actually prefer snow in the day and don't really worry about sun angle till Feb 15th, but if it's a 6-10" storm, I'm not complaining I'm not one to stay up late watching the snow fall, so I like going to sleep and waking up in a winter wonderland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 yes...the heart of the storm is like 5pm to 3am....that timing couldn't be more perfect Super Bowl parties put asunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm with zwyts, I'd rather take our chances with a front end thump than a boring sheared out mess. I'm kind of hoping GGEM stays the same as 00z. Best potential of the season so far, lets get the EURO on board today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Lets hope this solution is still there Sat night/sunday ! I have a good feeling though seeing all the models, while not on the same page, in the same chapter. Right now my bar is set at 4-6" for Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I don't see a raging +NAO. I see a basically neutral to maybe even ever so slightyly -NAO that appears to be rising again around February 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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