AdamHLG Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 There is no worse feeling than being under a Watch, seeing the new NWS alert icon on my phone, clicking on it to see the upgrade to Warning, only to see a downgrade to advisory. Why do I waste my time and energy on this hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm holding off until the 0z suite tomorrow evening before giving up. I start wishcasting around Nov. 1 and stop around March 1. Then I start fantasy-casting for good severe weather set-ups around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm taking the airsoft out into the back yard and shooting everything that moves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I cracked last night. I'm probably taking a step back from the computer today but I'm in optimism overdrive. The NAM panic is just weird to watch in there. When the NAM shows what we expect to see from this storm evolution it isn't that odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 whenever I get down about PHL north getting it an not us I think about RIC south getting screwed constantly...south of EZF its another world for winter weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I cracked last night. I'm probably taking a step back from the computer today but I'm in optimism overdrive. The NAM panic is just weird to watch in there. Is it that bad? I have never been a rubber necker. I can resist looking. Decided after yesterdays awful pbp/meltdowns I would not venture in that thread during model output cycles. Its disturbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Today's the 15 year anniversary of January 25, 2000 Maybe we can get a last-second miracle here too? Man, this one hurts. I wish we could go back to the relatively uncomplicated solutions from last Thursday/Friday: a few inches for pretty much only us to maybe Philly. Now we have a coastal that's going to crush Philly-Bos while we get screwed. Then again, I also wish I didn't give a crap about snow...alas, I do. I wouldn't even mind as much if Boston got 2 feet while we got nothing, but for places so close to us to be getting a good storm...just awful. It was one thing earlier in the winter when everyone in the east was having a terrible winter with us, but now that's obviously about to change. I suppose there is still some time left for some changes in our favor, but I'd imagine the writing is pretty much on the wall for this one. Also, I don't understand the 09-10 pay back stuff. Yes, we had a warning event on Jan 30 that NYC missed out on and NYC missed out on Feb 5/6. But PHL did almost as well as us, and NYC got 20"+ with the late February storm that we missed out on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Once you get rolling into looking at one model, and it looks bad, you start looking at more and more. Generally I don't care what other people think. I take it under advisement but it doesn't make me uber excited or want to bridge jump. Seeing that absurd contrast (on one euro run) was too much for me to bear Also, I'm still new here. Last year I expected zero snow coming from CT and we produced a great winter. I'm not used to a bloodbath. Until I see one, which could very well be tonight, my soul remains intact. Boxing Day 2010 down here, when I flew me and my family back early from Christmas to beat the storm was when I first experienced the sadness. You never forget your first time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Boxing Day 2010 down here, when I flew me and my family back early from Christmas to beat the storm was when I first experienced the sadness. You never forget your first time. This event does bear some resemblance to 2010 for sure. I was supposed to get 1 foot+ in that event, I guess in retrospect I was lucky to get 5". But eastern DE had 15. Even tho the Euro has me getting a foot for this event, no other model is even close. I think 3-6 is reasonable for here, but my bar is basically 3. The cutoff for heavy snow is going to be wicked and it seems it will be just NE of our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 When the NAM shows what we expect to see from this storm evolution it isn't that odd. That's the problem. If the thelow track across TN instead of KY, the inital band would have probably gotten to us enough to give us a models snowstorm but a track into WV keeps the inital band to our north and dealys the feed of cold air until the low starts cranking offshore. Ahing to realy on precip warping back into us or having some kind of strange banding feature to develop happens way more on the models then in real life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just curious, when was the last time DC was under a blizzard watch/warning. Was it during your epic winter? Yes. Each of the 3 09'-'10 storms had a blizzard warning for a time for a part of the area. I don't recall ever being under a blizzard watch since I moved here in August of 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yes. Each of the 3 09'-'10 storms had a blizzard warning for a time for a part of the area. I don't recall ever being under a blizzard watch since I moved here in August of 2009. Yeah, it was '09-10. There were blizzard warnings for some counties in the area for Dec. '09 and Feb. 5-6, '10 due to wind in some areas meeting the criteria. However, the Feb. 9-10 event was an area-wide blizzard (40MPH gusts, temps dropped into the low 20s, and blinding whiteout conditions on the 10th). ETA: Blizzard watches are kind of rare, though I've seen them pop up now and then (not here, but other areas of the country). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I freely admit to irrational snow rage. Such is life. Nothing wrong with that at all. I have a buddy in northern Connecticut who's threatening to send me pictures. I told him to go f*** himself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Next- looks like maybe a wet sloppy inch at the end in Lewes,De Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm going to take advantage of the nice day and take my daughter to Frying Pan Park. Daddy-daughter day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Tell me when it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's interesting how each system seems have been increasingly more challenging the last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Is beer good after yoga class? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 So I told people this won't be a big deal. I want to be right and wrong at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 8 more months 'til October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm packing now...can't believe I even thought about not going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 if it doesn't snow here it won't hurt my internet feelings. what will hurt is if the Terps crap the bed tonight vs Northwestern. hurry back Walking Dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I'm packing now...can't believe I even thought about not going. Free breakfast? Who wouldn't go? Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Free breakfast? Who wouldn't go? Enjoy. Gonna stop in Delaware to get some snacks and stuff...I'm gonna use this thread for any suggestions for me to buy First thing is water...next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Gonna stop in Delaware to get some snacks and stuff...I'm gonna use this thread for any suggestions for me to buy First thing is water...next? Cheez itz. The biggest box you can find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Cheez itz. The biggest box you can find.YES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Gonna stop in Delaware to get some snacks and stuff...I'm gonna use this thread for any suggestions for me to buy First thing is water...next? Beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The one time when leaving near the bay may work out tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I traveled to NYC in a snowstorm. When I got to No. NJ turnpike it was a mess. Was driving a rear wheel vehicle. Made it to NYC. Great event. City was wonderful in the snow. Wish I could go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Harsh Ian is harsh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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