Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It may look pretty good next 7-10 days but if everything crumbles inside 48 hours then is it really pretty good? This should have been an easy win for most of the forum. We just had a Miller A that was mostly rain. It's almost Feb with nothing on the horizon. Maybe it's just not gonna happen this year at least for some of us. It's not a shutout pattern. We've had plenty of those. And we average around 9" of rain in DJF. This winter in kinda "normal" for around here in many ways and we have 3 weeks of peak climo to see what happens. It's all about chances. I'd rather have chances that don't go as planned than an awful pattern with zero chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Channel 2 in Baltimore's map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It's not a shutout pattern. We've had plenty of those. And we average around 9" of rain in DJF. This winter in kinda "normal" for around here in many ways and we have 3 weeks of peak climo to see what happens. It's all about chances. I'd rather have chances that don't go as planned than an awful pattern with zero chance. I know it sucks because we're getting screwed, but we just had a respectable clipper, a juicy Miller A and now we're having a gawddamn KU in a matter of 5 days. We're having chances here. I think we'll have more chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 There is nothing like it happening in your backyard. Exactly. I've been in Lake Placid, NY for a few big storms. One time when I was about 13 years old. I watched it snow 25" overnight. The temp was 7 or 8 degrees. It was cool, but nothing like when it's your own backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What time do you think amtrak will close? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Have faith DC folks. Looks like CNN still has you in 3-6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know people don't want to hear it right now in our subforum, but the 8-day analogs worked out pretty well for the period centered around tomorrow. This storm just seems like a variation on 1/22/05, except perhaps suckier for us. Storm signal for DC through Maine was strong, and that's certainly verifying. I have a bad feeling that this won't be the last major shafting we get this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 To add insult to injury, it seems the rest of the Big 10 decided, "Hey, to beat the Terps, just don't miss any shots!!". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know it sucks because we're getting screwed, but we just had a respectable clipper, a juicy Miller A and now we're having a gawddamn KU in a matter of 5 days. We're having chances here. I think we'll have more chances. What makes it worse is that I've gotten a grand total of 0.75" of snow and well over 1" of cold rain from it all so far. I don't need chances. I need *results*! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 To add insult to injury, it seems the rest of the Big 10 decided, "Hey, to beat the Terps, just don't miss any shots!!". Indiana didn't miss, now NW not missing. They will definitely drop to 20 in the new rankings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I have a bad feeling that this won't be the last major shafting we get this winter. And if so, then what will be will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What makes it worse is that I've gotten a grand total of 0.75" of snow and well over 1" of cold rain from it all so far. I don't need chances. I need *results*! If you say this in a gruff, Churchellian voice, it's actually pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 What makes it worse is that I've gotten a grand total of 0.75" of snow and well over 1" of cold rain from it all so far. I don't need chances. I need *results*! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 And if so, then what will be will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 <snip> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know it sucks because we're getting screwed, but we just had a respectable clipper, a juicy Miller A and now we're having a gawddamn KU in a matter of 5 days. We're having chances here. I think we'll have more chances. Correct. Still doesn't feel good. Three weeks to sun angle references here. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Convo I just had with my wife: Wife: I'm kinda bummed we aren't getting much snow - I really wanted some. I'm guessing there aren't many who feel the same. Me: You'd be surprised - you want to hear some truly depressed people? I then read some highlights from the past few pages to her. Suffice to say, she feels better now... lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know people don't want to hear it right now in our subforum, but the 8-day analogs worked out pretty well for the period centered around tomorrow. This storm just seems like a variation on 1/22/05, except perhaps suckier for us. Storm signal for DC through Maine was strong, and that's certainly verifying. I think most in our forum have a pretty negative view of 1/22/05. Classic Miller B shaft, and even those of us who saw some snow got much less than we hoped for. Does MECS mean Miss Every Coastal Storm? If so, then you are probably right. Chin up. You live near Winchester... it is a snow town. I pulled the trigger and booked two nights in NYC. Leaving early tomorrow morning. I was undecided between BOS and NYC but already went to BOS for Feb '13 and wanted something closer and different. My biggest concern is getting fringed compared to BOS. Hopefully the GFS ticks west and looks like the Euro. You can follow me on youtube at Thesquiggyacfd. I will try to post as many vids as possible. I hate that I need to spend money to get my fix but this area blows during the winter..... Awesome! Hope you enjoy and share your experience and some pics! Good luck. I thought about it, but I just wouldn't be able to handle leaving that and coming back to brown grass and mud. I'd chase tors and epic lake effect. Fortunately, I had my 30" fix in 2013 I got my 27" fix in 2013... went to SNE and experienced a New England blizzard after several terrible mid-Atlantic winters. I'm not as desperate for snow now as I was back then. Coming back sucked, but for me it sure as hell didn't take away from what I experienced up there. It may look pretty good next 7-10 days but if everything crumbles inside 48 hours then is it really pretty good? This should have been an easy win for most of the forum. We just had a Miller A that was mostly rain. It's almost Feb with nothing on the horizon. Maybe it's just not gonna happen this year at least for some of us. Maybe it will. I have a bad feeling that this won't be the last major shafting we get this winter. Perhaps not, but most winters with at least one big shaft aren't necessarily terrible overall. We could get a storm some time in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm with you Mattie G, potential means jack sh*t without production. Yup. I understand and respect people trying to stay positive, but I'm having a hard time. For some reason, this has really punched me in the gut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yup. I understand and respect people trying to stay positive, but I'm having a hard time. For some reason, this has really punched me in the gut. Yeah, this one is really getting to me. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 well DT did warn us not to get our hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yup. I understand and respect people trying to stay positive, but I'm having a hard time. For some reason, this has really punched me in the gut. I have two NNJ friends constantly fb messaging me updates on model runs for the past few days on how the Euro or some other model shows 20-25"+, and how excellent the H5 looks, and the BLIZZARD WARNINGS and wxbell snow maps putting them in bright pink and lime green. Sometimes I ignore their messages but for the most part I don't react even if I feel upset inside. There's something insane about me that makes me keep tracking this even though I know I'm missing it for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 well DT did warn us not to get our hopes up. funny thing is he had our area much higher than everyone else early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm just hoping the storm early next week will show back up on the models this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know I shouldn't bother looking at the 0z suite at all, but its tough to stop cold turkey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well to add insult to injury Maryland is down big to Northwestern to end the first half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know I shouldn't bother looking at the 0z suite at all, but its tough to stop cold turkey. I am pretty sure it is going to be terrible for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know I shouldn't bother looking at the 0z suite at all, but its tough to stop cold turkey. It'll suck for the clipper snow but I'm curious to see what it shows for tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I am pretty sure it is going to be terrible for us. Without a doubt, but I just can't stop after being tuned in for so many runs......at this point it's like slowing down unnecessarily to look at a car crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Here in Fargo, we have yet to see our first 1" storm this winter season. So all of you back away from the edge of the cliff, because I'm 1st in line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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