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gymengineer

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    North Bethesda, MD 20852

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  1. gymengineer

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I'm really curious what the storm surge numbers will end up being. First, I'm glad to see the NHC start to de-couple surge values from the SS scale (like in this document: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/surge/surge_intro.pdf). We know some specific locations such as New Bern and Wilmington set highest water levels. There are some hints now that some of the Atlantic beaches may have also seen very impressive surges. We'll see. If it ends up that Florence beat Fran in the surge department throughout much of the coastline, then the only thing that really could have been much more "historic" for the coastline is the wind. One aspect of the wind that was highly unusual for a storm this far north is how readily inland stations gusted to 70+ mph. That speaks how spread out the wind shield was. Kind of like how Irma taking the path it did (into Cuba and then the west coast of FL) weakened the storm significantly but exposed more of the FL peninsula to dirty-side hurricane force gusts than a just-west of Miami path would have.
  2. gymengineer

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    This will be one of the iconic images from the entire event:
  3. gymengineer

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Something about this photo.....just wow.
  4. gymengineer

    September Discobs Thread

    Check out *this* video. Incredible to see from anywhere in this subforum.
  5. gymengineer

    September Discobs Thread

  6. gymengineer

    September Discobs Thread

  7. gymengineer

    Florence Observations

    I’m glad the Wilmington radar just came back online. To be missing both that and the Moorehead City one would make tracking these training cells much more difficult.
  8. gymengineer

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Other than Isaac before it got upgraded to a hurricane, this must be the highest storm surge forecast for a tropical storm. STORM SURGE: The Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and Bay Rivers...8-12 ft
  9. gymengineer

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Cape Fear River at Wilmington just beat the record crest from Matthew in 2016.
  10. gymengineer

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Given how many tornadoes Ivan dropped around this area, that experience was remarkably underwhelming for me. I'd much rather get in on some generalized gusty shower action than watch TV footage of a wedge tornado near Opal, VA.
  11. gymengineer

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    40-50 mph gusts from the south would bring down some trees (antecedent wet conditions even more extreme than before Isabel), but that Euro product is always so high-end.
  12. gymengineer

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Here’s my obligatory annual post that 90% of the subforum would not be happy with a cat 3 up the Bay. That’s too far east for anyone in the DC metro area westward. C’mon, for most of us to happy, we have to have a high Cat 3 or 4 landfall near Hatteras Village heading NNW at 25 mph, passing to our west, somewhere in Loudoun County. 105 mph gusts at DCA from the south with super record storm surge at every station all up the Bay.
  13. gymengineer

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Check out Hurricane Diana (1984).
  14. gymengineer

    July Discobs Thread

    Yes, please just go to bed and stop posting on this forum.
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