burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM has been leading the way with the southern wave. Getting that polar energy to slow and hold back more is the key here. A delicate dance it's been for the past few days. I think we're finally reeling it in, my friend. I have a feeling the NAM is coming on board. Southern energy slightly east. Northern energy further west and looks a little slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 We were over 3 in Atl. I think Canada was over 5 strung out over a number of storms and days, It's the wind that kills you when the totals get up. The weight will just bend and break the limbs straight down, but the wind will do the terror. Pray you don't see much wind when you get those kind of totals Tony http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1998_Ice_Storm_map.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Yeah, 0z NAM definitely slower with the polar energy swinging down at 18 hrs. Good sign there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I have a feeling the NAM is coming on board. Southern energy slightly east. Northern energy further west and looks a little slower.Yea northern energy is a tad further west at 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Like the NAM thus far for those RDU people early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 00z NAM already looks further west with that northern energy and a tad slower. Southern energy looks about the same. I think this might be a winner...the southern energy is about the same position as the 18z run, but northern piece is a bit west and slower coming down.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Def can see the ns and ss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I just started checking into this threat how is it looking for our neck of the woods Marion? Are we too far west? We were definitely too far west earlier today but the models since 12z have been trending back in the direction of the mountains/foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 http://www.americanwx.com/models/index.html?&model=nam&run_time=00z¶m=250mbWindsHeights&map=NA&run_hour=24 STORM20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I like the looks of the northern energy on the backside digging via western Montana and into Wyoming looks stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 precip not quite as far north at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 At 36, shortwave over the eastern Great Lakes is a bit farther NE compared to 18z. Also, northern stream wave is a touch sharper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Updated thoughts at 9:00pm from Brad Panovich down in Charlotte for the Charlotte area: Via twitter If I had to say right now I think 1-2" for Charlotte would be a good forecast with higher amounts east & a Dusting to the west. #cltwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM held the southern s/w back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Precip shield is farther north at 48 compared to 18ZNAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 precip blossoming at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SE crew shut down the server! (Is it just me or is NAM leaving the southern energy behind????) (Ninth attempt at posting) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM looks better, it took a step but it doesn't look like it will explode across the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM looks better at 850 for KCAE. Thank the lord! Willing to sacrifice some moisture to not get it as IP/ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 SE crew shut down the server! (Is it just me or is NAM leaving the southern energy behind????) (Ninth attempt at posting) It did but even @51 it's trying and it's damn close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Updated thoughts at 9:00pm from Brad Panovich down in Charlotte for the Charlotte area: Via twitter If I had to say right now I think 1-2" for Charlotte would be a good forecast with higher amounts east & a Dusting to the west. #cltwx Brad is top notch and I'm sure his inner Snow Weenie is thrilled at what the models have been doing today. If the 0z suite of runs hold serve or keep up the current NW trend, I'm sure he will be honking the horn as we go throughout the day tomorrow. The southern and northern waves are being modeled in just about the perfect positions for us for a phase to occur that wallops a large portion of the subforum (just about all of us), gotta hope the modeled trends become reality! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 If that southern energy was 50 - 100 miles east this would be huge. Still a big step in the right direction. Night and day vs. 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 florence and the pee dee in the money this run, what a moisture feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Not gonna lie never rooted for a GFS run like this in my entire life. If it comes in even better than 18z run which is entirely plausible idk what im gonna do. That nam was darn close to something awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If that southern energy was 50 - 100 miles east this would be huge. Still a big step in the right direction. Night and day vs. 18z NAM. SOOO close to a phase. You can see the energy basically being sucked out of the southern energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM is slightly better for the inland crowd compared to 18z. Trough is slightly sharper. RH and QPF a bit farther northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 There is a SREF member giving KCLT 25 inches!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM is slightly better for the inland crowd compared to 18z. Trough is slightly sharper. RH and QPF a bit farther northwest Just missed a big run. It held the Baja s/w back just a little too much. Had all of it ejected, we'd have seen a monster run. I guess we can return to our regular NAM slapdown programming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cg2916 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Wow! The SREF is on something, one plume member forecasts 17 inches for Greenville, SC! http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index2.php?YMD=20140126&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=GSP&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=4&mLAT=37.77478874678&mLON=-96.042896875&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I know that data on the polar shortwave was ingested in the model runs, but have we properly sampled the southern energy yet? It's still mostly over the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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