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About Shawn

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Lexington, SC

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  1. I didn't read through everything, but looks like landfall right around Myrtle Beach and North into NC. Approaches as a 936mb and sits around 946 at landfall. I think it looks pretty good, without an obscenely low pressure. High end cat3 - cat 4. Think we may be finally narrowing down an OTS vs landfall situation. If I were to guess, it's somewhere in the SE, between FL and the NC/VA border at the furthest North point... I expect to see a nicer cluster through at least day 4 on the EPS later.
  2. Can anyone please explain the sharp NW turn taken? It looked like for sure it would go across Florida and possibly into the GOM.
  3. Just like Hugo, barely North of downtown Charleston looks to be the spot.
  4. It's not too pretty honestly. Accounting for ground temps along with the surface, there just isn't going to be much in most areas in the Columbia area that experience higher precipitation amounts. Rain, snow, sleet mix at best. The latest NAM severely cut down totals from it's previous run. The GFS is just ugly and borderline, not worth mentioning, and the RGEM model is dry.
  5. Hi everyone, can we please not post the link in main threads like this to the other forum? Do not want to spam. Thanks. Some weather input: GFS PARA (2 runs old) and 00z GFS is good for GA and into Midlands of SC. The 00z is a tad warmer and needs to be watched though. CAE received 7 inches or so while Florence jackpots with around 8.5-9.
  6. Earlier hours of the NAM are telling. Not like we are relying of 84 hours.
  7. Eh there is an abnormal high chance... but KCAE putting snow in the forecast for Lexington is never good.n I figure if we get a system at all, it will hug the coast or even come slightly inland on the Gulf. If so, happy new year to SC and 36F and rain.
  8. I would like to put this here (show's a real chance to my North):
  9. Brick ruined the threat on the other side. Have fun with cold and dry jerk!
  10. Okay to the SC question earlier when the second wave finally arrives, we end up getting some snowfall in the upstate and some ice (sleet or mixing likely) around the Midlands over into GA. NE GA may be predominantly snow.
  11. Little bit of snowfall in the upper portions of the state. Nothing major. The second wave ends up getting stuck and won't get anything done down the road for us.
  12. Thankfully the 06z GFS gets rid of the ridiculous ice storm down this way in Columbia/ I-20. Some Wintry weather in Northern Al, Ga, good chunk of NC.
  13. Cold first, storm later always works well for us and we have seen on various ensembles and op runs the past few days that this is the first wide-spread chance for us all. I feel pretty good with the 00z runs, and the EPS will hopefully look better later tonight.
  14. Euro is alrdy looking diff than it's 12z run with that western energy. Carry it on home guys
  15. I KNOW! I thought it was 28 seconds, but 48 it was supposedly.. and that was generous!