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Jan 21 Event


Poimen

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Man...NWS RAH 4:30pm forecast doesn't look too great but most realistic probably considering rain to snow light QPF event. High bust potential locally, I reckon.

 

BeiLaFsCQAA1jp9.jpg

 

Thats a depressing graphic and they must not be talking to other offices cause MHX just upped us to 1-2" and almost all models agree with that...on this graphic you got to be 50-60 miles into VA to see 1-2" ....

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37.5/35.1 wind calm gusting to 6 out of NE with barometer at 29.66 slowly rising from low of 29.57 at 3pm. Temp had a quick 8 degree drop from 3:30-4:00 but has slowed as it approached 100% rh. Just came in from w-s And rain drops getting bigger on windshield as precursor to snow, but none seen yet. Rain best described as slow steady light rain like before switchover, but we'll see. 4 miles north of Kernersville, NC (Pine Knolls to locals)

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37.5/35.1 wind calm gusting to 6 out of NE with barometer at 29.66 slowly rising from low of 29.57 at 3pm. Temp had a quick 8 degree drop from 3:30-4:00 but has slowed as it approached 100% rh. Just came in from w-s And rain drops getting bigger on windshield as precursor to snow, but none seen yet. Rain best described as slow steady light rain like before switchover, but we'll see. 4 miles north of Kernersville, NC (Pine Knolls to locals)

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For what it's worth the RAP has just come in wetter for the Triangle. It had shifted much dryer the last few runs. Looks like around .2 at hour 6 with precip still falling.

 

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=01&model_dd=21&model_init_hh=21&fhour=06&parameter=PCPIN&level=6&unit=HR&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false

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For what it's worth the RAP has just come in wetter for the Triangle. It had shifted much dryer the last few runs. Looks like around .2 at hour 6 with precip still falling.

 

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=01&model_dd=21&model_init_hh=21&fhour=06&parameter=PCPIN&level=6&unit=HR&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false

 

Not bad...  Just need the changeover to happen already.

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