Jump to content

thunderwolf

Meteorologist
  • Content count

    119
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About thunderwolf

  • Birthday 01/21/1990

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KRDU
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Fuquay-Varina
  • Interests
    NC State Wolfpack, baseball, volleyball

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. thunderwolf

    Florence Observations

    Yea, I don't think that's legit. At least I really hope it isn't.
  2. thunderwolf

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Just wanted to let you know that those numbers might be inflated slightly. I think the power outage source either a) doesn't have the total number of customers correct or b) is wrongly assuming all Carteret-Craven Electric Coop is out of power which it is not. My parents live there and have CCEC and still have power.
  3. thunderwolf

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    You are absolutely right, but wind speed is also a factor. None of the other factors have changed and so now with a decreased wind speed we are expecting less surge. And by less surge, I think the forecast only went down by about a foot, so we are really splitting hairs here.
  4. thunderwolf

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    You mentioned the bad things, so I will point out a couple of good things regarding potential surge. 1) Storm is weakening and pushing less water 2) Looks like landfall will be around low or at least mid-tide tomorrow.
  5. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Looks like after that reorganization of the eye that its drifting northwestward again.
  6. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    I can agree with this assessment. NHC still shows the movement as of the 1pm update NW at 10 mph.
  7. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Just measured the satellite, it looks like its about 35 miles wide N-S.
  8. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Maybe a Day 3 high risk, but there has been several Highs Risks issued by the WPC this year. In fact they issued one as the remnants of Gordon combined with a cold front of the OH Valley this past weekend.
  9. thunderwolf

    2018 Banter Thread

    Well we had good agreement between the GFS and ECMWF for about 1 hr.
  10. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Pressure 10 mb higher too. Not sure what I think about that, although nearly all the models have been trending slightly weaker with the system which is good news.
  11. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Yes the landfall probability distribution seems reasonable to me. <10% chance of OTS, about 10% of moving into GA, 20% chance Charleston area, 60% from about MYB to MHC.
  12. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Wow, good call. I don't know how to post the image of today's run, but here's a link https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/images/AL06_2018091012_ECENS_0-120h_large.png Spread does seem a little more reasonable with today's 12z than the one I had erroneously mentioned earlier.
  13. thunderwolf

    Hurricane Florence

    Wow that is a lot of spread between one model's ensemble members. There are even a few GFS like runs in there too. Edit: That was yesterday's run. Spread does look more reasonable today.
  14. thunderwolf

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    Yes those are records for that day (Jan 17). I am sure the all time 24 hour record at all those sites is much higher than what was received yesterday.
  15. thunderwolf

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    Based on the climate reports, official snowfall totals are: RDU: 5.9" (daily record) GSO: 7.0" (daily record) AVL: 2.1" - 2.0" on 1/17 (daily record) and 0.1" on 1/16 CLT: 3.5" (daily record) GSP: 3.1" (daily record) ILM: T ORF: 2.5" + still snowing after midnight (daily record) RIC: 2.0" RNK: 2.1" LYH: 4.0" DAN: 8.8" ATL: 2.4" - 2.3" on 1.17 (daily record) and 0.1" on 1/16 (daily record) AHN: 1.1" (daily record) CSG: 2.0" (daily record) MCN: 1.0" (daily record)
×