wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 H5 is about 50 miles further west off the coast than on the 12z.. keep backin' it up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdmorrow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_060_sim_radar.gif Decent rates into the night on Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 please let it be all snow <because I'm a sick weenie!> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 H5 is about 50 miles further east off the coast than on the 12z.. keep backin' it up.. You mean west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Over at 63... Baltimore gets 2 inches as well on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 if you do a 5H loop you can see at 60 hrs the vort is slowing down, having been caught by the northern stream, and ready to turn north I'm bettin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It's still snow showering on 18z Th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol...it's like a 32 hour event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 18z NAM thru hr63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Over at 63... Baltimore gets 2 inches as well on this run. actually, there's measurable precip on the 69 hr panel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Clown maps must have a large portion as rain: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE060.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks like EZF is the jackpot... 2.5-2.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The UVVs at 45 are sick. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Clown maps must have a large portion as rain: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE060.gif Would be brutal punishment to the DC crew if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Clown maps must have a large portion as rain: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE060.gif Strange looking from HGR to FDK. Winchester FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 please let it be all snow <because I'm a sick weenie!> Can't wait for the soundings to see exactly what percentage of that is snow. Then I need someone to tell me the ratios will be better than 5 or 6 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Aside from the long duration, look at the classic look to the precip. field. the structure is amazing on this run. You would also have to think we would get quite cold the last 6-8 hours of the strom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Clown maps must have a large portion as rain: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE060.gif that is the most snow for BWI on those clown maps yet I don't know what that one uses but it is way, way more conservative with rain/snow calculation than any other all along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 B..E..C..S: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the coolwx graphs are the closest in figuring out rain/snow/sleet using actual soundings than any other map/converter out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Everyone knows NAM has a warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 You guys are going to roll your eyes but JB gets credit. He said back in Mid February that he expected the early March pattern to yield some kind of "superstorm" for the Mid Atlantic. This is pretty darn close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM soundings look fine for DC (950 mb around -1C once we saturate the column) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 You guys are going to roll your eyes but JB gets credit. He said back in Mid February that he expected the early March pattern to yield some kind of "superstorm" for the Mid Atlantic. This is pretty darn close but let's go back and see how many times he said the same thing and nothing happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Clown maps must have a large portion as rain: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE060.gif Would be brutal punishment to the DC crew if that verified. I mean, that could happen..who knows...but with those punishing UVV's, I'm not sure. I don't know what the algorithm calculates to get that total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 that is the most snow for BWI on those clown maps yet I don't know what that one uses but it is way, way more conservative with rain/snow calculation than any other all along I don't this sounding would be rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hokierulz98 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Temps are looking to be more and more of a problem for the DC and Baltimore crew as this thing keeps coming north. Loudoun and West should do amazing but I'd be sweating in it the near DC or Baltimore suburbs right now. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE060.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM soundings look fine for DC (950 mb around -1C once we saturate the column) but don't we want 975mb to be 0 or less to be certain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DCA soundings... 39 I think is snow but 42 should be snow 39 -- http://www.twisterdata.com/data/tmp/scratch/models/processing/NAM_218_2013030418_F39_39.0000N_77.0000W.png 42 -- http://www.twisterdata.com/data/tmp/scratch/models/processing/NAM_218_2013030418_F42_39.0000N_77.0000W.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM soundings look fine for DC (950 mb around -1C once we saturate the column) Fook the clown maps. 8"? I think we can do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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