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Finally able to enjoy sitting on the screened porch with a steady, moderate rain. I hope it goes all afternoon. Temp a moist 68

When was this? The big tor day that CoastalWx was all excited about recently? LOL.

I note you are being facetious here, which is ok. Social media I would argue is what influences the population most now, way more than traditional media like TV.

Rain continues - up to .2" at home for the day and .3" for the past 2 days. Should eek out several more hundredths of an inch.

real scientists dont use twitter or instagram to communicate complex science they use BB forums

Never trust a lake around here. https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showpost.php?p=408078&postcount=14 Could be a tornado, could be an area of enhanced wind. Trying to dig up drone video from Tuftonboro. This is from last Thursday.

Up to 0.14" on the day. 66.6F

About .6" from earlier today. Something actually useful for a change. Desperately needed.

Actually most days have been AOA although yesterday and today no. Remember, it’s June and this month averages about 5-7F less than July so expectations should be kept in check. July looks to start hot but what’s Independence Day without heat?

Ended up with .90, areas 10 or so miles south picked up around 1.5-2 inches. Fortunately its been cloudy and drizzly today with temps in the mid 60s. So the rain has been a able to soak in with not much evaporation loss.

Well, I am a water hauler, so maybe as snow begets snow, water begets water...lol

1.02" from this morning's line. Another one coming in now.

NWS confirms straight line wind microburst for Burke, VA, yesterday

I think the main issue with comparing the PDO from 2015 to 2026 is that was a second year Nino, which tend to have +PDO much more established by this point. Since it is a lagged response in part to ENSO. I would be surprised if the PDO is not at least moderately positive by early winter.

We need some more yellows! Up to .70” on the day and about 2.70” for the month.

https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/174-2026/PNSLWX/6fbb0920f9aef4b8b9451fd1f9c3b496 Remove if already posted, NWS preliminary survey found downburst winds in Burke up to 90mph. Reports of damage pretty extensive

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 110 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026 KEY MESSAGE 2...Another cold front is expected to approach the region late this week, bringing more chances for showers and storms. Another cold front is expected to approach our region late in the week (likely crossing through our region Friday into Saturday). More showers/storms are likely beginning as early as late day Thursday and then continuing Friday. Southwesterly flow ahead of the front should allow for plenty of moisture advection ahead of the rain chances. However with the best forcing more centered north of the region, that could limit how widespread significant rain is with this event. As for what hazards to expect with this event, that will be highly dependent on the timing of the showers and storms, which is still uncertain. The front may linger nearby next weekend and if this occurs it would keep chances for shower/storms going, especially in the afternoon/evening hours. There is uncertainty regarding this though.

This thing is moving slower than an anorexic at an all you can eat buffet.

Not to downplay the casualties from this event at all, but that's one statistic that's a stretch to tie directly to the record heat. Heatwaves in general do increase drownings, but the evidence does not suggest that they rise in proportion to extreme heat. Heat waves increase the overall risk of unintentional drowning by approximately 17% to 26%, depending on the intensity of the heat wave. This spike is primarily driven by a surge of people seeking relief in unsupervised bodies of water. [1, 2] Key Risk Factors Activity: Swimming and bathing-related drownings see the largest jump, increasing by 28% compared to non-heat wave days. Demographics: People aged 65 and older are the most vulnerable, facing a 36% higher risk, followed by children/teens at 24%, and adults (20–64) at 7%. Gender: Men are disproportionately affected, being 22% more likely to drown during a heat wave compared to a 5% increase for women. [1] Geography & Extremes While risk generally climbs with heat, studies show that during extreme (the highest intensity) heat waves, drowning rates can actually fall slightly (to around a 9% increase), likely because the heat becomes so oppressive that people choose to stay indoors.

Would not say it balanced out that month.

Making up ground, but the back edge is in sight. Probably won’t get to an inch today but grateful that today delivered after yesterdays near shutout.

Thanks, Chris. Related to the PDO, I saw this quote today: “Waters around Japan have been cooling quite a bit lately while warming north/northeast of Hawaii.”

Back edge approaching