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Coastal Storm Potential - Jan 11-12 II


Baroclinic Zone

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The vorticity doesn't get away this time, it's run right up into SNE versus getting shot out under ACK. Be interested to see how the rest of the suite handles it particularly the Euro before buying it.

That's just a tremendous snow storm once again for NYC.

A track like that could bring 20" totals to W CT... some towns that saw 12"-15" on Friday!!!!

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Overcorrection...overcorrection...I'm going to keep telling myself that this is an overcorrection.arrowheadsmiley.png

Probably is... I wouldn't worry too much.

Can't say I'm shocked to see the NAM do this given the number of way amped up SREF members. Hell some had the thing OVER Hartford!!!

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Yeah inland areas get crushed. Have to think dry slot dry slot dry slot for many of us unfortunately with that track.

Thankfully it's the NAM

Yeah...I'm still hesitant to buy a solution this amped up even with the SREFs being bullish...that is until some globals get on board.
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how are the mid level centers behaving....is there still a "screw" zone where ML Low is not as favorable.

I think wachusett gets well over a foot . the clown maps will be interesting.

No per the NAM pretty much all of you get crushed. It's an ideal big snowstorm away from SE areas where there will be dryslotting and temp issues. It's a skiers dream and bloombergs nightmare.

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Great run....will happily put up with taint to see if snow that hard.....and back to snow again after the initial push once the storm gets closest.

Yeah you get a crushing front thump followed by some pingers some rain and a dry slot.

Obviously a low track over Narraganssett bay sucks for a lot but trend it 30 miles east and everyone is in business. I'm happy to see the mid level lows closing nice and early.

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Yeah...I'm still hesitant to buy a solution this amped up even with the SREFs being bullish...that is until some globals get on board.

brian like you said wise to wait for the rest of the 0z. If it all comes in the same great. The NAM did the same thing down here a couple of days ago when it adjusted the s/w vorticity NW. It did wobble over a few runs but on different key s/w. It never wandered SE and came back though on the same feature like we just saw.

We'll see, good model porn.

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