Is it crazy to be confident in overachieving rates for some in the heavier bands given our past several weeks? I'd take 6" and dance in the streets for me at BDR, but I feel like there could be some random massive lollis of utter joy and delight for some of you classically placed people. Here's to everyone hopefully cashing in, finally!
Yeah, alright, 30 or 40 up north, fine. But hey, some of our roadway puddles are pretty big! They might take a couple days to fully evaporate. Don't even get me started on how much mud we have. It's okay to be jealous of us.
March 14 without a big cold high is the big winner here today. What can you do? We're actively melting the trace we received. I wish it was 67 and sunny.
We're certainly all rain, but colder than I thought we'd be at 37.7 and falling slowly.
The GFS and NAM have indeed given slight hope (I wish I did not have) of actual accumulation.
Even on the NAM, places like BDR won't be snowing hard enough to accumulate anything for a mid-March afternoon. I'm sure it's overdone, we'll slot, and then get some pretty melting flakes to tease the end of this debacle.
This is a disaster, and most definitely one of the worst sagas I've seen. Thoughts and prayers to those who have to make an official forecast.
I had no interest in being burned by this, and I'd gladly take a 3-6" event. I didn't need the 20-24" regardless of how lovely it would be. This winter? I'll take anything. Now? Thanks for the 3-6" of rain.
At least our poor little crocus won't be harmed
They mean what they said - if there's a 10% chance of those totals occurring, it's the 90th percentile snowfall. In reality the depiction seems more like the actual forecast. The totals for the 90th percentile should be much higher with something like 12-14 having a 10% chance.
Those all sound right. It's funny, it feels like we over performed, totally ripped, had a tremendous day...and still most not in the 18-24 from OKX.
I'm probably 17-18". It's tough.
Yeah, though I'm wondering if it will by that point. Whenever it has looked like we were about to lose some punch today we have built more right back in.