Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer

[Cyclone-68]

When I die and go to purgatory I expect the weather will be just like this forever 

[Brewbeer]

23 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

When I die and go to purgatory I expect the weather will be just like this forever 

it could be worse .... it could be April

71/56 at sunset 

[Cyclone-68]

1 minute ago, Brewbeer said:

it could be worse .... it could be April

April in perpetuity would be hell lol 

[kdxken]

36 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

When I die and go to purgatory I expect the weather will be just like this forever 

Do you mean incoming weather? I thought this week has been pretty sweet.

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Sunday looks shot, but if we stay dry most of the week it may be mostly 60s with 40s/50s at night. It's just a lot of NE flow.

And for the end of the week? A solid nobody knows? Some models are spitting out some hefty rainfalls. I hate rain.

"Finally, the guidance suite is hinting at a possible coastal low
pressure some time Thursday into Friday. However, there are
rather large variances in track and timing. For example, the 12Z
GFS has a low pressure over the Gulf of Maine at 8 AM next
Friday. Meanwhile, the 12Z ECMWF has this same low pressure about 300 miles east of southern MD for this same time.
Different positions also lead to different tracks due to
interactions with a mid level trough."
 

[Cyclone-68]

10 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Do you mean incoming weather? I thought this week has been pretty sweet.

I was speaking more about the borrrrringgness about it but you’re not wrong 

[kdxken]

Torch! 

 

[VivaManchVegas]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Sunday looks shot, but if we stay dry most of the week it may be mostly 60s with 40s/50s at night. It's just a lot of NE flow.

a crappy sunday in the fall makes me feel better about my self when I watch 3 hrs of football.  

[WxWatcher007]

30 minutes ago, VivaManchVegas said:

a crappy sunday in the fall makes me feel better about my self when I watch 3 hrs of football.  

It’s the perfect football Sunday. 

[ineedsnow]

18z Euro was about to go wild

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

23 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

0.00”

what soaker?

We tried to tell em.

[powderfreak]

2 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said:

When I die and go to purgatory I expect the weather will be just like this forever 

10/10

[tiger_deF]

IF we're looking for interesting weather over the next few weeks, best combination would be the 5 days of moisture train panning out, combined with a subtropical/somewhat tropical development off the SE coast coming north over the next week or two. Other than that we may be kvetching until the first proper nor'easter. 

[vortex95]

@CoastalWxPT time in Weymouth?  00z GFS all in.  WPC in their 7-day pcpn totals likes it!

And that's a lot of CAPE for a Nor'easter.  Lots of embedded tstms and good mixing down of BL high winds.  Why not?  It's Sep w/ SSTs highest and there is a sig area 100-150 mi S and E of CC of anomalies up to +4 C! @weatherwiz @ineedsnow getting ready.

Sfc low not that deep but when it is 1004, 1033 high in Quebec due N, so outstanding gradient and fetch for a Sep nor'easter.  I don't recall anything quite like this in Sep in recent times, but I'll let others chime in on that for historical context!

Only thing missing is some isolate pockets of of 0 C at 850 in NNE, but it does get down to +3 C even in MA. 
 

 

[ineedsnow]

3 hours ago, vortex95 said:

@CoastalWxPT time in Weymouth?  00z GFS all in.  WPC in their 7-day pcpn totals likes it!

And that's a lot of CAPE for a Nor'easter.  Lots of embedded tstms and good mixing down of BL high winds.  Why not?  It's Sep w/ SSTs highest and there is a sig area 100-150 mi S and E of CC of anomalies up to +4 C! @weatherwiz @ineedsnow getting ready.

Sfc low not that deep but when it is 1004, 1033 high in Quebec due N, so outstanding gradient and fetch for a Sep nor'easter.  I don't recall anything quite like this in Sep in recent times, but I'll let others chime in on that for historical context!

Only thing missing is some isolate pockets of of 0 C at 850 in NNE, but it does get down to +3 C even in MA. 
 

 

Euro and ICON are kind of meh! But the GFS, Euro AI,  GFS AI , and EPS are all showing it.. it could be a fun storm

[Modfan2]

Congrats SW CT again with the rain tomorrow? 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro and ICON are kind of meh! But the GFS, Euro AI,  GFS AI , and EPS are all showing it.. it could be a fun storm

Euro and icon please.

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro and ICON are kind of meh! But the GFS, Euro AI,  GFS AI , and EPS are all showing it.. it could be a fun storm

"Deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to hint at the
potential for a coastal low pressure system sometime Thursday into Friday. However, there is still a fair amount of uncertainty in the
details of the pattern that will influence the track of this low.
Some solutions feature a low track closer to southern New England while others well off shore. Pretty low confidence at point, but warrants monitoring as it would bring potential for stronger winds, rough seas for the coastal waters and potentially another round of
rainfall.
 

[jlauderdal]

11 minutes ago, kdxken said:

"Deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to hint at the
potential for a coastal low pressure system sometime Thursday into Friday. However, there is still a fair amount of uncertainty in the
details of the pattern that will influence the track of this low.
Some solutions feature a low track closer to southern New England while others well off shore. Pretty low confidence at point, but warrants monitoring as it would bring potential for stronger winds, rough seas for the coastal waters and potentially another round of
rainfall.
 

Buyer beware from KALY:

THAT SAID, GUIDANCE IS NOTORIOUS   
FOR STRUGGLING WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THESE CLOSED UPPER LOWS IN   
THE MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE, SO CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK OF THE   
COASTAL LOW IS QUITE LOW. ADDITIONAL FORECAST CHANGES SHOULD BE   
EXPECTED OVER THE COMING DAYS.  

 

[powderfreak]

34F.

[mreaves]

36 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

34F.

36° here. I’m headed to FL for the week so I haven’t paid much attention to the forecast for here. Doesn’t look too bad though. Cool with some showers?  

[WxWatcher007]

Low of 54 at WXW1 

Low of 37 at WXW2–coldest of the season so far.

Low of 28° at SLK.

[Great Snow 1717]

14 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said:

When I die and go to purgatory I expect the weather will be just like this forever 

Methuen????

[Chrisrotary12]

With 60s in the forecast for the next 10 days…. We uninstalled. 

[kdxken]

40 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

With 60s in the forecast for the next 10 days…. We uninstalled. 

Uninstalled back in July. Never needed it. Dud of a torch summer.

[jbenedet]

8 hours ago, vortex95 said:

@CoastalWxPT time in Weymouth?  00z GFS all in.  WPC in their 7-day pcpn totals likes it!

And that's a lot of CAPE for a Nor'easter.  Lots of embedded tstms and good mixing down of BL high winds.  Why not?  It's Sep w/ SSTs highest and there is a sig area 100-150 mi S and E of CC of anomalies up to +4 C! @weatherwiz @ineedsnow getting ready.

Sfc low not that deep but when it is 1004, 1033 high in Quebec due N, so outstanding gradient and fetch for a Sep nor'easter.  I don't recall anything quite like this in Sep in recent times, but I'll let others chime in on that for historical context!

Only thing missing is some isolate pockets of of 0 C at 850 in NNE, but it does get down to +3 C even in MA. 
 

 

Biggest storm potential probably since March.

 

The coastal surface reflection forms in the subtropics and phases with a mid level disturbance.

 

We’ll have to see if we can get a named system out of this before reaches the mid latitudes. That will be the difference between run of the mill or something more unique, as advertised on the WPC output.

[kdxken]

Just moved my breal chair into the sun. It's over...

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, mreaves said:

36° here. I’m headed to FL for the week so I haven’t paid much attention to the forecast for here. Doesn’t look too bad though. Cool with some showers?  

Same 36 here, but it's my wife going to FL, for her sister's 70th BD.  Lots of heat there (between Ocala and Gainesville) with 90/70 days for at least the first week.

Saw significant (for mid-Sept) color changes on the BGR-and-back drive, white ash 50% color, red maple 10-20% (near full in the swamps), some color on birches and aspens.  Seems a bit early as temps are only slightly BN this month, though the BN rain (50% of avg) since late June might be a factor.

[dendrite]

58° and sunny at noon

Too early for this

[BrianW]

29 minutes ago, dendrite said:

58° and sunny at noon

Too early for this

62 for the low here and already up to 74 with some dews...