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Big Heat Week into July 4th Weekend


yoda
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Impressive 18z sounding from IAD:

  • Surface CAPE of ~3,100
  • DCAPE of ~1,400
  • Lapse rage of -8.4°c/km

Classic robust wet microburst sounding.

One red flag for more widespread convection is the convective temp of 100° and a 700mb temp of almost 11°, which is still pretty capped. If we get shielded over with cirrus, then we might lose the oompf needed to get the more robust cluster and line segments going.

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1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Impressive 18z sounding from IAD:

  • Surface CAPE of ~3,100
  • DCAPE of ~1,400
  • Lapse rage of -8.4°c/km

Classic robust wet microburst sounding.

One red flag for more widespread convection is the convective temp of 100° and a 700mb temp of almost 11°, which is still pretty capped. If we get shielded over with cirrus, then we might lose the oompf needed to get the more robust cluster and line segments going.

Picturized.

812052661_IAD(3).thumb.gif.8c221d01c70bc323eab0359fffceafb1.gif

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Impressive LSR for that warned cell which collapsed just to the southwest of Luray. Classic microburst:

Quote
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
303 PM EDT Sat Jul 04 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SE Broadway           38.57N  78.76W
07/04/2026                   Rockingham         VA   911 Call Center 

            Several trees and wires blew down near Broadway. A 
            large tree blew down in the 12000 block of Daphna Road. 
            A couple of large trees blew down on US-11 Lee 
            Highway/North Valley Pike near Lacey Spring Road to the 
            11000 block. Trees and wires blew down near the 
            intersection of Wampler Road and Holsinger Road, and in 
            the 2500 block of Mayland Road. 


&&

Event Number LWX2606986

 

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3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Hard to be 100% sure with all the ground clutter on radar, but looks like there’s a bay breeze boundary in southern AA and Calvert counties.

Agreed. Was mentioning this earlier. You can see that on the Naval Academy, BWI, Ft. Meade and PG mesonet sites. Looks like it's running right along I-97.

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1 hour ago, Kay said:

 

Thanks for the term. I had never seen, or noticed, one in that posture but guessed why. I have more water out now. Hot enough in Pen Mar for panting chickens, ugh!

Low 80, currently 94/76

We were just in Leitersburg where we spent $25 for tickets and $45 in food and the beer wall to find out what the big disclosure from Disclosure day was.

They have a little weather station at the theatre and it is a sweet 103.  Car therm confirmed.

The chickens are staying confined to under bushes and trees right now.   I am glad this nonsense is coming to an end soon.  Need rain badly. 

 

 

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