2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[midatlanticweather]

Cell north of Culpepper looks interesting. 

 

[Roger Ramjet]

I had a high of 82 today and was cloudy 95% of the time. Radar activity is weakening as it approaches western Loudoun. Looks like anything severe will be south and east of me. Not sure why the STW extended so far northwest. 

[vortex95]

14 minutes ago, batmanbrad said:

WPC just issued an MPD for our area - warns of heavy rain leading to possible flash flooding:

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0499&yr=2026

 

It's juiced in the column for sure.  K-index as high as 40 in  w-cntrl VA.  That is about as high as it gets these parts.
 

[batmanbrad]

whoa that cell near Manassas sure got itself together in a hurry... could be heading for DC?

[SnowenOutThere]

5 minutes ago, batmanbrad said:

whoa that cell near Manassas sure got itself together in a hurry... could be heading for DC?

Going for my Herndon metro intercept point 

[vortex95]

10 minutes ago, batmanbrad said:

whoa that cell near Manassas sure got itself together in a hurry... could be heading for DC?

Looks like a supercell and it is splitting now.

[Eskimo Joe]

3 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Looks like a supercell and it is splitting now.

Downburst evident on the terminal radars.

[DanTheMan]

In that cell between Culpepper and Warrenton, getting some legit straight line wind

[SnowenOutThere]

11 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Looks like a supercell and it is splitting now.

It’s combined with the cell that popped up over 66 (I was driving west to get the culpeper cell) and it was nasty. Some of the heaviest rainfall you can get. The gust front is hitting me from the cell complex. I’m at the Herndon metro garage if anyone is interested in where my reports are from. They have a 6 story roof. 

[LP08]

Has to be some hail in there too, some 68dbz pixels showing up

[SolidIcewx]

I hear constant rumbling from that storm to my NW here in south Alexandria

[SnowenOutThere]

Looks like the hooks reformed over GMU. Saw two bolts from the blue hit right over there 

[SnowenOutThere]

No visible rotation from my vantage point. Massive downdraft/microburst visible though.  

[frd]

Hmm, might get interesting soon on the Upper Eastern Shore.  

[George BM]

A decent wind threat might be developing for areas south of I-66 and Route 50 w/ that squall line in VA.

[SnowenOutThere]

7 minutes ago, George BM said:

A big wind threat might be developing for areas south of I-66 and Route 50 w/ that squall line in VA.

At least to myself the velocity scans look rather unimpressive. 

[AlexD1990]

Rotation near Landover?

[George BM]

Tornado Warning near Quantico and into Charles county, MD now.

[Kleimax]

Seems like there’s a force field Baltimore north and west to prevent any storms from firing up 

[Bob Chill]

Gnarly storm just moved through in my hood. Warned and verified. 50-60mph gusts and torrential rain. Best storm since I moved. Glad I wasn't on the lake. That would have been scary lol 

[frd]

More severe weather potential late June and early July 

https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2069109423008542773

The next 2 weeks feature a good deal of potential severe weather opportunities. The NSSL machine-learning output here isn't the only thing supporting severe weather risks in late June and early July.