Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[clskinsfan]

Just swept .3 off my snow board. Coming down nicely still. But really only sticking to the grass and pine trees. 

[paxpatriot]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

You're probably going to be too far west.

Tell me more.

[WxUSAF]

Temp has gone back up a bit. Light rain/snow. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, paxpatriot said:

Tell me more.

Take it up with the model runs posted earlier.

[hsq]

Its trying, Starting to get some slushy accumulation. 

Huntingtown 33.6F

[nw baltimore wx]

As always, I could be wrong, but wrap-around snow later tonight and early Monday could be fun for some areas too.

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Are you the snow report on mPING in Easton?

lol no.

I have to teach a course there tomorrow and I think travel would be quite difficult at 6am 

[ifindppl]

Mix of rain/snow in Olney that has turned to mostly snow (light) for the last 10 minutes.  

[TJ]

22 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Some of these flakes are legit parachutes. So big they are already sticking on wet ground.

Temp down to 34

Send them my way please

[Terpeast]

Down another half degree. 37.3

[CAPE]

Stickage in the normally shaded areas.

33.6

[JenkinsJinkies]

3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

As always, I could be wrong, but wrap-around snow later tonight and early Monday could be fun for some areas too.

Wrap-around's recent track record doesn't have me excited. Would like to be proven wrong though.

[Weather Will]

46 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

You know this, but the warning hasn't started yet.

Without heavy rates, even if it starts to snow again, the ground and air are too warm and wet. I was not expecting a blizzard but was hoping for 3-6 inches.  Ain't happening unless you are NE of DC with higher elevation and maybe the Cactoctins with the IVT.

[Wetbulbs88]

Not a flake in sight. Plain Jane rain. 

I don't think we even start accumulating until after dark at this rate. 

[Chris78]

Just now, Weather Will said:

Without heavy rates, even if it starts to snow again, the ground and air are too warm and wet. I was not expecting a blizzard but was hoping for 3-6 inches.  Ain't happening unless you are NE of DC with higher elevation and maybe the Cactoctins with the IVT.

I bet the catoctins already have 4" +.

Was snowing hard all morning up there.

[MillvilleWx]

Everything is going as planned. Accums won't really start for another 3-5 hrs, especially after sunset. Temps will drop to near and below freezing and rates will increase. The ULL formation to our south has not even started yet. Hours to go before the good stuff. Go out, grab a bite, have a drink or two, relax, take a nap, celebrate the USA Gold, then enjoy snow falling later. It'll do what it's going to do. Everyone stay safe, especially our Delmarva brethren. 

[Wetbulbs88]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Without heavy rates, even if it starts to snow again, the ground and air are too warm and wet. I was not expecting a blizzard but was hoping for 3-6 inches.  Ain't happening unless you are NE of DC with higher elevation and maybe the Cactoctins with the IVT.

Which are not forecast to start until about five hours from now. 

You are likely too far west for 3-6" without the IVT. 

[Stradivarious]

flakes (white rain) starting to show in Salisbury MD

[JenkinsJinkies]

2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

I don't think we even start accumulating until after dark at this rate. 

Literally every met here said that accumulation isn't happening until 5PM at the earliest.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Radar looking good, just need it to drop a few degrees. 

[WVclimo]

Starting to see better pressure falls off of the coast.

 

[Bubbler86]

5 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I bet the catoctins already have 4" +.

Was snowing hard all morning up there.

I was just at high rock expecting a snowy scene.  Cars have some snow on as do trees but no accums on the ground.  Car therm was 36 so that is one reason.

[ravensrule]

5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Everything is going as planned. Accums won't really start for another 3-5 hrs, especially after sunset. Temps will drop to near and below freezing and rates will increase. The ULL formation to our south has not even started yet. Hours to go before the good stuff. Go out, grab a bite, have a drink or two, relax, take a nap, celebrate the USA Gold, then enjoy snow falling later. It'll do what it's going to do. Everyone stay safe, especially our Delmarva brethren. 

Finally a sane person in here. Enjoy the storm. 

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

I was just at high rock expecting a snowy scene.  Cars have some snow on as do trees but no accums on the ground.  Car therm was 36 so that is one reason.

Wow. Our grass is mostly covered here. Only place it’s not on is the roads. 

[Bubbler86]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

Wow. Our grass is mostly covered here. Only place it’s not on is the roads. 

Just not that much in rates here.   Plus 35-40 everywhere is not going to cut it except for hvy snow.

[SnowenOutThere]

Just had a batch of chunky rain 

[87storms]

Definitely not snowing here.

[lazywxwatcher]

35.8 here in Lancaster.  Light rain that changes to snow with increased intensity - but there isn't much intensity.

As other's have said, dropping sun angles and increased intensity should flip everyone in the 3-6pm window.  Abrupt cutoff on models here still, but 0.6-0.9 qpf east to west should still get us the goods later. For all the short term model inconsistencies, the euro and GFS have been in agreement for qpf here since the noon euro run got a clue yesterday.

[BlizzardNole]

10 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Everything is going as planned. Accums won't really start for another 3-5 hrs, especially after sunset. Temps will drop to near and below freezing and rates will increase. The ULL formation to our south has not even started yet. Hours to go before the good stuff. Go out, grab a bite, have a drink or two, relax, take a nap, celebrate the USA Gold, then enjoy snow falling later. It'll do what it's going to do. Everyone stay safe, especially our Delmarva brethren. 

That reminds me of (I think) 2006 where we had off and on snizzle all day and were thinking bust, then rates picked up right at sunset and we got heavy, wet snow for several hours.  Hoping for that tonight!

[centralmdwx]

White rain (flakes) in Bethany Beach.  Kinda surprised.