“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Idk I just don’t believe a low that deep, rapidly strengthening, and at  that position would throw back such meager precip here. Toss

I am inclined to side with this as well. I mean it does make sense if it occludes too quickly but you still have a good deal of 700mb VV on the northwest side of the low back across CT late Monday morning while NAM is winding down. I still think models are shutting things down a bit too quickly

[Go Kart Mozart]

Denial and bargaining WOTR.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Modfan2 said:

I am fine with Scooter and those to the east stealing my snow

WOR vs EOR

[Greg]

Quantity definately better over Eastern and Southeastern MA this run. A squeeze play is taking place here now with these models.

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Just don’t look at that run if you live WOR

NAM is such a piece of dog shit. Worst model why i even bother looking at it, i dont know

Just now, OrangeCTWX said:

Idk I just don’t believe a low that deep, rapidly strengthening, and at  that position would throw back such meager precip here. Toss

yea cuts back qpf over 60% around us in one run this close in, pretty hilarious

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

still looks like crap here tbh. Not that we expected much

1.4-1.5” qpf is crap nowadays?   

[Bostonseminole]

3K NAM looks good for most east of 495 for areas north of the pike.. still a general 14-20".. SEMA/SWCT/RI look great.

[dendrite]

Yeah the nams are still very impactful WOR…it would just be the lower end of forecasts verifying. But I get it…it would feel like a rug pull if this verified and I’d want to break Ray’s kids’ toys too.

[Spanks45]

11 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Too late 

My 16.8" a few weeks ago will be my biggest storm of the season....all in on that call, this storm will be more impactful with the wind though, hopefully our over under is 12", but this might be an underperformer out here, overperformer EOR

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

1.4-1.5” qpf is crap nowadays?   

yeah, agree that's why I posted that still looks good, not sure that area was ever in the bullseye.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

yeah, agree that's why I posted that still looks good, not sure that area was ever in the bullseye.

Get some decent ratios (12:1-15:1) add in some ferocious winds 

crap.    Yeah.   

[OrangeCTWX]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

You’re fine…gonna be great there. The long and short is, It’s a region wide mauling….1ft+-2ft.  Some places will see more depending where banding sets up. 

That’s how I lean still as well.  We already got around an inch here from this mornings snow so good start lol

[moneypitmike]

3+" on Mattapoisett, ftw.

 

3k

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

My 16.8" a few weeks ago will be my biggest storm of the season....all in on that call, this storm will be more impactful with the wind though, hopefully our over under is 12", but this might be an underperformer out here, overperformer EOR

Lol…enjoy the blizzard bro. 

[weatherwiz]

maybe it's me being a weenie but based on the mid levels I would absolutely bet QPF ends up being much higher across Connecticut. Unless things really do shut off that quickly but that mid level evolution and low tracks seem pretty prime to me for CT

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

1.4-1.5” qpf is crap nowadays?   

Yeah the hype is otherworldly for a mid storm we've seen dozens of times

[Greg]

Still out to hour 37 on NAM 3K. (Tues 01 Z) Looking good for Eastern/Southeastern MA. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

maybe it's me being a weenie but based on the mid levels I would absolutely bet QPF ends up being much higher across Connecticut. Unless things really do shut off that quickly but that mid level evolution and low tracks seem pretty prime to me for CT

Absolutely. I remember Feb 2013 was said to do this too…And it just ripped when it got here.  Gonna be a good one for sure. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

maybe it's me being a weenie but based on the mid levels I would absolutely bet QPF ends up being much higher across Connecticut. Unless things really do shut off that quickly but that mid level evolution and low tracks seem pretty prime to me for CT

I 100% agree with you, but If that band magically dies over CT and redevelops out east, there were be some angry folks lol 

[The 4 Seasons]

3 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

That’s how I lean still as well.  We already got around an inch here from this mornings snow so good start lol

an inch in orange?? It rained here for a little while then some flurries non accumulating light snow

[SouthCoastMA]

3k NAM loves Mattapoisett. 

[Johnno]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Absolutely. I remember Feb 2013 was said to do this too…And it just ripped when it got here.  Gonna be a good one for sure. 

Yup never forget that morning looked to be slipping east and then boom

[Hoth]

7 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

My 16.8" a few weeks ago will be my biggest storm of the season....all in on that call, this storm will be more impactful with the wind though, hopefully our over under is 12", but this might be an underperformer out here, overperformer EOR

Nice melt. 

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

3+" on Mattapoisett, ftw.

 

3k

Time for you to bag out of work and stay put

[OrangeCTWX]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

an inch in orange?? It rained here for a little while then some flurries non accumulating light snow

3/4 an inch upon actual measurement but ya is been snowing lightly since late last night 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Hoth said:

Nice melt. 

Ya, he’s a passive aggressive, worrying Debbie for sure.  Lol. 

[JKEisMan]

WOR will do fine. Deformation band and better ratios, even 1.5 qpf will result in 18-24.

[CT Rain]

Just now, Johnno said:

Yup never forget that morning looked to be slipping east and then boom

I was thinking about that as well this morning. 

Disappointing to see the 12z NAM back down a bit around here but the storm still looks great overall. 

[Kitz Craver]

5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah the hype is otherworldly for a mid storm we've seen dozens of times

For someone who claims they love only big wind, wound up coastals, this is truly a shit post.

[DomNH]

Sell high ratios with the wind.