Is we back? February discussion thread

[ORH_wxman]

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2015 was a slow death.

Sort of, but not in the way i meant it....it was frigid in 2015 but we stopped getting good snow events and the south coast and mid-atlantic actually got some in late Feb and March. But yeah, 2015 couldve been put into even further epic territory if we had scored anotehr big dog in March that year. 

 

I really meant years where it just basically melts off slowly in 40F weather with no reinforcements of significance.

[mahk_webstah]

14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

damn this storm

Yeah I just saw the euro AI moved north and then goes south with the next one

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Sort of, but not in the way i meant it....it was frigid in 2015 but we stopped getting good snow events and the south coast and mid-atlantic actually got some in late Feb and March. But yeah, 2015 couldve been put into even further epic territory if we had scored anotehr big dog in March that year. 

 

I really meant years where it just basically melts off slowly in 40F weather with no reinforcements of significance.

Right after the epic Arctic front on Valentine’s Day we cooked in DC

[SouthCoastMA]

AI tugging me back in a bit. Enough to at least check the 0z runs later 

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Sort of, but not in the way i meant it....it was frigid in 2015 but we stopped getting good snow events and the south coast and mid-atlantic actually got some in late Feb and March. But yeah, 2015 couldve been put into even further epic territory if we had scored anotehr big dog in March that year. 

 

I really meant years where it just basically melts off slowly in 40F weather with no reinforcements of significance.

Well, March did the trick just bc of the sun...pack rotted.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Don’t do it

[HIPPYVALLEY]

16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I need consistency and consensus....too much volatility. 

Oh, I get it. I love the effort you put in to all of this and I’m sure it must get emotionally draining.

[ineedsnow]

fat fluffy flakes with this band coming through

[wx2fish]

Bursts of heavy snow in these squalls 

[VivaManchVegas]

Snow begets snow.. still snowing.  I did not see this at all. 1/2" now. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

damn this storm

What’s up with the AIFS, it’s so damn snowy. 4-6” mean Monday then another several inches the following 10 day. As a 12-18” total mean for all of New England about the highest all year. 

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What’s up with the AIFS, it’s so damn snowy. 4-6” mean Monday then another several inches the following 10 day. As a 12-18” total mean for all of New England about the highest all year. 

no clue homie, the thing that catches my eye is the AIFS, not the ensemble but main model, is now coming N/stronger with the low for the first time yet for this storm.

Even last night at 00Z when the euro showed a big hit, it wanted nothing to do with it.

 

[The 4 Seasons]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What’s up with the AIFS, it’s so damn snowy. 4-6” mean Monday then another several inches the following 10 day. As a 12-18” total mean for all of New England about the highest all year. 

That is a pretty crazy mean

[ORH_wxman]

This still feels like classic bait…but Euro skynet suite showing some enthusiasm makes this a little more interesting. Still need other guidance to jump on board. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

This still feels like classic bait…but Euro skynet suite showing some enthusiasm makes this a little more interesting. Still need other guidance to jump on board. 

i feel like we been baited nearly every day since last Wednesday we've been tracking/talking about this system.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

i feel like we been baited nearly every day since last Wednesday we've been tracking/talking about this system.

If we somehow reel this system back in to be a warning event in SNE, this winter will really start moving up the charts. It’s already been a damned good winter but we have a lot of snow climo left and you don’t want to waste those periods. 

[Kitz Craver]

I’m pretty surprised honestly 

[Kitz Craver]

It’s just another model… it’s just another model…

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

I’m pretty surprised honestly 

It seems to want to snow.

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, kdxken said:

It seems to want to snow.

Could absolutely be another head fake. Need some cross model consensus 

[kdxken]

North shore winter. They deserved it. Even tonight. 

 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, kdxken said:

North shore winter. They deserved it. Even tonight. 

 

North Shore sometimes gets hot and it just snows there. Happened a lot in the 2013-14 winter. They had it coming after the recent brutal stretch there. 

[alex]

It’s ripping here tonight. Might get to a foot if it keeps this way

[alex]

Also, saw a snow boa today lol 

[The 4 Seasons]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we somehow reel this system back in to be a warning event in SNE, this winter will really start moving up the charts. It’s already been a damned good winter but we have a lot of snow climo left and you don’t want to waste those periods. 

Yeah im just looking for at least 1 warning event in Feb and 1 in March to start considering it for the A/A- range. Really sucks when we leave an entire calendar month open with bl normal snowfall and no storms like Jan 2021.

Snowpack was really good around here this winter. For low elevations in southern Connecticut, continuous snowpack for longer than a week is usually the exception and not the rule. A typical winter, even a really good one like 16-17 or 17-18 it snows, melts, rains..rains some more then repeat. 

It's only those few instances like 2011, 2015, 2021 where we had prolonged deep snowpack right down to the shore for several straight weeks

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we somehow reel this system back in to be a warning event in SNE, this winter will really start moving up the charts. It’s already been a damned good winter but we have a lot of snow climo left and you don’t want to waste those periods. 

Yes ..i said that earlier. 

[moneypitmike]

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we somehow reel this system back in to be a warning event in SNE, this winter will really start moving up the charts. It’s already been a damned good winter but we have a lot of snow climo left and you don’t want to waste those periods. 

If wishes were horses....

[cleetussnow]

14 minutes ago, alex said:

Also, saw a snow boa today lol 

Snow snakes. They always used to jump up and bite me when I used to ski a lot. Can hardly see the suckers but they lie in wait …for skiers like me anyway

[LSC97wxnut]

Where did this snow come from?

I didn't see it forecasted anywhere?

[dryslot]

Euro is on an island, So take it back out of line at the glue factory?