February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[blizzardmeiser]

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

90% of our winters end in disappointment. March snow has nothing to do with it.  

Winter has been good so far.It doesn’t need to be “saved”.

[SnowenOutThere]

2 hours ago, Terpeast said:

And btw, the pattern we just had really delivered. We just didn’t have all of the luck on our side. Could just as easily have had 2 blizzards in one week, so if I see Jan 2026 analog again, I’ll by honking loudly about it.

Yep, our historically run in the past 10 years has been a combination of failing to get good patterns combined with the extremely frustrating habit of wasting the patterns we do get. Is what it is but does continue to sting that we are going to exit another rare respite in our bad patterns with two close calls. 

[Jake Wx]

Euro with a light clipper On Friday 

[SnowenOutThere]

Anyways, if we are getting a warmer break in our winter I do hope we manage to get some pleasant days out. While the snowpack (icepack?) has been nice I'm ready to be able to go outside without being bundled up. Hopefully will go to Shenandoah this Tuesday to see the frozen ice falls before they melt. 

[Bob Chill]

Just caught up with this thread. In a nutshell.... lol

[Terpeast]

30 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Yep, our historically run in the past 10 years has been a combination of failing to get good patterns combined with the extremely frustrating habit of wasting the patterns we do get. Is what it is but does continue to sting that we are going to exit another rare respite in our bad patterns with two close calls. 

Nothing new. Lived through some bad runs and plenty of close misses here. 

At least everything is still white here with 6 ft snow piles as if we had just gotten a flush hit. 

[snowfan]

I’d head to the hills this coming weekend. Gonna be an upslope show out there.

[Ji]

Just caught up with this thread. In a nutshell.... lol

So in one day the entire month fell apart lol

[Blizzard of 93]

18z AI EPS is interested in a potential Winter storm window during Valentines/Presidents Day weekend.

[jayyy]

18z AI EPS is interested in a potential Winter storm window during Valentines/Presidents Day weekend.

Bob chill Bowl pattern!


.

[snowfan]

[GreyHat]

25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z AI EPS is interested in a potential Winter storm window during Valentines/Presidents Day weekend.

Yes, the week 12-14 which could be snow, sleet, freezing rain for Delaware.  That's what the long range is showing right now. That would not be fun after this one we had.

[Climate175]

31 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z AI EPS is interested in a potential Winter storm window during Valentines/Presidents Day weekend.

That period is looking interesting…

[Terpeast]

32 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z AI EPS is interested in a potential Winter storm window during Valentines/Presidents Day weekend.

Looks like a potential swfe overrunning event from midwest to NE, but could include us depending on how well we hang onto the cold. Usual disclaimer applies

[Bob Chill]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

So in one day the entire month fell apart lol

It was a fun ride while if lasted. See ya in September when you cancel next winter. 

[stormtracker]

Almost time to change my avatar to reflect the mood