Weather Will Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 hours ago, Steve25 said: It would be just like the GFS if it’s a hit at 12z while everything else stays or moves further out to sea lol Because of course lol. Hopefully the CMC and Euro trend favorably too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: I hate to say this but the GfS just adds confusion. It constantly plays catch up to the other models Of course I want it to be right but..... Right. I put as much stock in the GFS as I do the NAM, maybe even less, these days. Part of me wonders if it’s just chasing the Euro’s tail and is just a full 24 hours or so behind it. I guess we will find out in 90 minutes or so. FWIW, that Google AI product at 6z was a coastal scraper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, bncho said: 12z GFS congrats Richmond! Takes almost 24 hours to get from Raleigh to DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 CCB! hr 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4pm Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Can't speak for everyone but I'd marry the gfs and also be good if she cheated on me 75mi NW. 9 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 That's almost 4 feet of snow on the eastern shore with 50-65 mile per hour winds. Absolutely catastrophic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3” QPF all snow around Salisbury. Fantastic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Tuck it another 50 miles and its a DC HECS. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 hours ago, stormy said: Its not over. There are 12 more more model runs between now and Friday. I can guarantee that significant changes await. They may be east and they may be west, or northwest. 3 hrs. later, I'd say that a very significant change occurred with the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Poor Randy stuck on the metro. How do we get him back on there for the Euro? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Monster SoMD blizzard on the GFS. I hope it can finally be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, osfan24 said: Right. I put as much stock in the GFS as I do the NAM, maybe even less, these days. Part of me wonders if it’s just chasing the Euro’s tail and is just a full 24 hours or so behind it. I guess we will find out in 90 minutes or so. FWIW, that Google AI product at 6z was a coastal scraper. Yeap. Mentally it's a JV model now for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 40 inches for MBY and 60mph winds hmmmmm ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, clskinsfan said: Tuck it another 50 miles and its a DC HECS. That's actually super easy to do with 108+ hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, TowsonWeather said: Poor Randy stuck on the metro. How do we get him back on there for the Euro? Are we sure we want him back? Keep him on the metro if CMC/UKIE improve, IMO. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, Alfoman said: Lord Almighty If euro and Euro AI shows this. This board will crash lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Would love to be in Cambridge this weekend. That looks like the spot to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 lol, 30 “ for Short Pump. It’s Euro vs GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 son 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 One glimmer of hope might be provided by the fact that most of the models have a strong negative NAO and a west-based block for this period. The beach blizzards of 2018 and 2022 were both pacific driven cold patterns with no blocking. Perhaps a block will help capture the shortwave and make it slow down and amplify more instead of being more progressive and sliding offshore. Or maybe it'll suppress it more. I don't know lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: The wind is something else as well 5 minutes ago, Alfoman said: Lord Almighty (not done yet either) 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 1pm 2 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said: That's almost 4 feet of snow on the eastern shore with 50-65 mile per hour winds. Absolutely catastrophic. verbatim this would be beyond crippling for almost the whole Delmarva as well as SoMD. jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 This is what we’re saying, 100+ hours, complicated stuff. Changes will happen. Would not take this gfs forecast literally or even seriously yet but this is what can happen, powder keg situation with the arctic air. Let’s keep trending. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Nomz said: son Closer 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Conway7305 said: lol, 30 “ for Short Pump. It’s Euro vs GFS I feel like it's statistically unlikely that the GFS can just be wrong every single time this winter. Eventually it has to luck its way into a correct solution. Hopefully this is it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 27 Author Share Posted January 27 Holy fook! I'll see you all at Dewey Beer Co. On Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Who put down 50" for SBY in the snowfall competition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, IronTy said: I feel like it's statistically unlikely that the GFS can just be wrong every single time this winter. Eventually it has to luck its way into a correct solution. Hopefully this is it. Ok but it just laid 4 feet in salisbury so it's pretty unlikely this will be the correct solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 BTW the DGZ is amazing on the GFS, unlike the past storm this would be a legit several thousand thick feet DGZ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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