January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[H2O]

1 minute ago, Zeus said:

I saw a video like that once or a dozen times.

This thread in the last day has had edging and glazing. How many of those videos have you seen?

[H2O]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

You take what you can get in a Nina. 

Congrats Chicago then

[bncho]

On 1/26/2026 at 6:43 AM, csnavywx said:

Really cool triple phaser.

However, it's a triple phaser. Powerful but delicate setup, so your expectations should be very guarded as there's quite a bit of dprog/dt even 3 days out right now. Here's a quick chart to help you manage your expectations should guidance continue to show it working out:

 

 

[HighStakes]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Harsh, but fair.  This is what i do when I’m out.  I’ll just say I’m out and just stop posting. 

Wasn't aimed at you lol. 

For crying out loud all these repetitive morons with the same bs posts over and over again. Sure, it looks bleak but this is what we do. You know darn well all these negative people still will be in the thread every minute following every run until Friday. As far as I'm concerned, knowing full well things are not trending well at the moment, that there is still an eternity left before this is completely dead. You can't talk in absolutes in anything especially meteorology when you"re still 4 days out.

[Terpeast]

Just now, bncho said:

 

Funny but true

[canderson]

46 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

 

Can you please add the PA forum? 

[Zeus]

2 minutes ago, H2O said:

This thread in the last day has had edging and glazing. How many of those videos have you seen?

Enough to know to throw a tarp down first in these trying times.

[Climate175]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

 

This is hilarious! LOL. Well played.

[Cobalt]

AI GFS is more amped/more west with the trough than 6z, continuing a 4+ run trend

Euro at the same time for comparison

[nw baltimore wx]

Bar the doors. All the quitters are about to try to get back in.

[Amped]

Gfs looks slightly west so far also.

Edit. Well west at 78

[anotherman]

1 minute ago, Cobalt said:

AI GFS is more amped/more west with the trough than 6z

Euro at the same time for comparison

That's a huge difference.  Not sure it helps at all but wow....

[wasnow215]

Anybody have 12 Z GFS snow totals? Please 

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Bar the doors. All the quitters are about to try to get back in.

Close the doors.

CLOSE the doors.

Close the doors!

(Only @stormtracker will know what I'm referring to, lol)

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Bar the doors. All the quitters are about to try to get back in.

 

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Close the doors.

CLOSE the doors.

Close the doors!

(Only @stormtracker will know what I'm referring to, lol)

[bncho]

ok guys, only one PBPer, who are we voitng for

[Ephesians2]

At 75h, the northern stream energy definitely looks a bit west of 06z. I have no idea how this changes things but its noticeable 

[Alfoman]

GFS has not wavered from this trend in 24 hours...

[mitchnick]

84hrs vs last runs

[bncho]

get a load of the GFS lol

[SnowFuturesTrading]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

ok guys, only one PBPer, who are we voitng for

Run it. SInce Randy is on the train

 

[Amped]

Just now, Alfoman said:

GFS has not wavered from this trend in 24 hours...

Perfect position. Freeze the troff axis over indiana.

[Terpeast]

GFS and Euro suites are going in opposite directions. Just checked CMC to see if we have a tiebreaker, but it's too waffly.

[dailylurker]

Just now, bncho said:

get a load of the GFS lol

Maps??!!

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GFS 10am Sat

[Solution Man]

what we got

[mitchnick]

Look at those height lines rising and everything backingvup

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, SnowFuturesTrading said:

Run it. SInce Randy is on the train

 

Okay, so at hr 102 it looks very 6z Euro like (from yesterday)

[Weather Will]

1pm

[IUsedToHateCold]

Big difference at 96 hours with the placement of the surface low - much further west on 12z.