Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Cary67]

13 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

EPS trying to give us a slightly different look in fantasy range, maybe a change of pace in a couple weeks?

Hopefully. This weekend is approximately duster event #9 for my area. At about 26-27" on the season. RFD lagging a bit at 23.9"

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

EPS trying to give us a slightly different look in fantasy range, maybe a change of pace in a couple weeks?

Its always interesting when several models/ensembles hint at roughly the same idea 2 weeks out, so its worth watching. But the key words...2 weeks out lol. In the mean time, just enjoying deep winter and hoping a clipper or two pops up.

[DocATL]

Major dice rolling on these clippers.

[Malacka11]

It's a struggle sometimes to ask questions genuinely stemming from curiosity for fear of seeming like a wishcaster. It's tough because (understandably) nobody posts a damn fucking thing until the elephant is basically addressing itself. Again, competely understandable, but this is the mfing Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion™ thread so let's chat:

What's up with about 150ish hours from now?  What dictates the degree of phasing between the various pieces that could be involved? Even if it phases into a 1-3 incher, what might control that? I truly want to stress that I'm just looking to understand large-scale, basic stuff here and not fishing for hope -- nor doomer shit.  Even if you aren't pro, what do you think?  If you are absolutely not paying attention because it's DOA, then why?  

[cyclone77]

12 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

It's a struggle sometimes to ask questions genuinely stemming from curiosity for fear of seeming like a wishcaster. It's tough because (understandably) nobody posts a damn fucking thing until the elephant is basically addressing itself. Again, competely understandable, but this is the mfing Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion™ thread so let's chat:

What's up with about 150ish hours from now?  What dictates the degree of phasing between the various pieces that could be involved? Even if it phases into a 1-3 incher, what might control that? I truly want to stress that I'm just looking to understand large-scale, basic stuff here and not fishing for hope -- nor doomer shit.  Even if you aren't pro, what do you think?  If you are absolutely not paying attention because it's DOA, then why?  

After Monday I stopped looking at models.  Got tired of seeing the same thing over and over.  I'll wait until someone starts a storm thread before I even bother checking into things.