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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. It's a f***** up situation/pattern, to say the least.
  2. it used to mean lengthy periods of cold/dry. this season it apparently means a day or two of cold with no precip. .
  3. The clipper part. There's definitely no support or shot at a clipper train for the whole first half of the month. Wouldn't rule it out for a time as we approach and get into mid-month, but that's pending PV lobe evolution. Late month is too far off to even mention at this point, given how volatile the pattern continues to be.
  4. I wanted to get some thoughts out regarding the first 1/3rd of December a few days ago, but haven't had the chance with the holiday and some other thing going on. Hope to have something more out today or tomorrow, but shall see. In the mean-time tough, the tldr version will be... -The first 1/3rd of December (1-10th), as many can see now, will feature a solid mix of mild/cool temps across the sub-forum, with the coldest temps north and warmest south. With anticipated PV lobe movement to the Hudson/Ontario coast in canada and significant NAO progression, we should see the colder temps being most significant and widespread late in this opening 1/3rd of the month, and into the beginning of the middle 1/3rd of the month. -The best snow opportunity with the next two storm systems (early/mid this week & this weekend) will be across the northern half of the sub-forum, the the PV still across Northern Canada and a solid -PNA and associated ridge. As we head into next week, we will probably see the best alignment possible for PV lobe interaction with the continued -PNA. That would be the potential time to watch for something of more interest across the sub-forum. To wrap up this beginning 1/3rd of the month, we should see a turn towards a period of WNW/NW flow, given the aforementioned PV movement.
  5. i wouldn't be wasting time with OP runs in this pattern.
  6. Some ENS are now threading the needle, with another incoming trough. Not a likely scenario, but I guess it’s something to watch if you’re looking for a fairly minor event across portions of IL/WI/IN/MI. .
  7. Had additional scattered snow showers at ORD and home, Friday and Saturday. They amounted to 0.1" on Friday and a T on Saturday at ORD, and a dusting both days at home.
  8. Final product still TBD, but the Euro and GEM have caved towards the GFS idea of a late week/weekend S Plains cut off storm system, which eventually moves NE. The needle does not look as if it will be thread.
  9. On the flip side, yea, everything is going as expected as a whole…and looks to continue to do so. .
  10. i’m not sure one day really qualifies. .
  11. 0647 AM SNOW 1 NE ORCHARD PARK 42.77N 78.74W 11/20/2022 M80.0 INCH ERIE NY PUBLIC STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL SINCE THURSDAY NIGHT.
  12. 0826 PM SNOW 2 SW BLASDELL 42.77N 78.87W 11/18/2022 M65.0 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER UPDATED STORM TOTAL SO FAR. ATHOL SPRINGS.
  13. 0700 PM SNOW ORCHARD PARK 42.76N 78.74W 11/18/2022 M66.0 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER UPDATED STORM TOTAL AS OF 7 PM.
  14. 0600 PM SNOW ORCHARD PARK 42.76N 78.74W 11/18/2022 M59.0 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER UPDATED STORM TOTAL AS OF 6 PM; AN ADDITIONAL 5 INCHES SINCE 4 PM, WITH NO LETUP IN THE SNOW.
  15. 0200 PM SNOW 2 SW BLASDELL 42.77N 78.87W 11/18/2022 M48.0 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL SO FAR. ATHOL SPRINGS. 6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL IN THE LAST HOUR (1 PM TO 2 PM). .
  16. 1230 PM SNOW ORCHARD PARK 42.76N 78.74W 11/18/2022 M42.5 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL SO FAR. 0110 PM SNOW 2 SW BLASDELL 42.77N 78.87W 11/18/2022 M42.0 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL SO FAR. ATHOL SPRINGS. .
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