Chicago Storm

edit your original post to change the title.

To add the the above, if the Euro, which is sort of alone in with the idea right now, has any clue... Things could be more interesting southward. Check out the significant dry line/bulge it depicts pressing across N and C IL. If frontal convergence can tighten up a bit more, and if that scenario were to be more realistic and gain support, then...

But, it really doesn't check more boxes, in a way. Capping, lack of frontal convergence (roughly south of the IL/WI border latitude), and the fact that the best dynamics are lifting further north into the Midwest/Western Great Lakes, are all significant concerns. The SPC overlooked concerns with that previous event and went with a balls to the wall approach...and failed. There is zero reason to do that once again this time across areas that are clearly more conditional. Highest coverage of activity will most definitely be across MN/NE IA/WI, though I think quality will be a bit more in question there. South of there, it's really too conditional overall. S Wisconsin may have the greatest shot of the most interesting activity, as there may be a more optimal overlap of everything there. South of there, sure, the environment is great across IL, but the three aforementioned issues will be problematic.

or it could be just because it just doesn’t look all that great and they actually realize it this time.

might get 49’d on the 22nd.

you new to spring in chicago?

canceled. re-instated.

i troll spartman, and then guidance flips. i see how it is...

sucks 2 b u.

another nice month on tap.

Topped out at 84° at ORD yesterday, which is the first official 80°+ day of the year for Chicago. It was also just shy of a record high for the date as well.

Classic solid EML/deep summer setup tonight. A heat burst is occurring in S IA currently, with anvil showers across N MO/S IA. Oskaloosa, IA went from 76/64 to 81/43, with winds gusting to 69MPH.

looks like a non-event around here. a marginal is questionable enough as it is, let alone an enhanced into portions of the CWA.

Here's the list with OBS locations added. I should note that 9 out of 10 of RFD's least snowy seasons also occurred between 1900 and 1940. So, it was just a period filled with a lot of clunkers. RFD's least snowiest season on record was 2.8" during the 1906/07 season. Least Snowiest Snowfall Seasons1. 9.8" - 1920/21 (Downtown/Loop)2. 11.5" - 1921/22 (Downtown/Loop)3. 12.0" - 1936/37 (South-side/U of Chicago)4. 14.3" - 1948/49 (MDW)5. 17.6" - 2024/25 (ORD)6. 18.0" - 1898/99 (Downtown/Loop)7. 18.2" - 1901/02 (Downtown/Loop)8. 18.9" - 1924/25 (Downtown/Loop)9. 19.0" - 1914/15 (Downtown/Loop)9. 19.0" - 1912/13 (Downtown/Loop)

The 2024/25 snowfall season will finish as the 5th least snowiest on record for Chicago. Also of note, is that with this being the case, the season of 2011/12 has now dropped out of the top 10. Least Snowiest Snowfall Seasons 1. 9.8" - 1920/21 2. 11.5" - 1921/22 3. 12.0" - 1936/37 4. 14.3" - 1948/49 5. 17.6" - 2024/25 6. 18.0" - 1898/99 7. 18.2" - 1901/02 8. 18.9" - 1924/25 9. 19.0" - 1914/15 9. 19.0" - 1912/13

sucks 2 b u.

madwx a solid new addition for mid/longer range views.

time is flying by.

LOT confirmed 2 tornadoes in their CWA from this event. 2 tornadoes in IL. The 2025 LOT CWA tornado count is now 16.

93MPH speed on this little t’storm in Central Illinois.

There already was a t'storm with brief rotation outside of the general thunder in N-C IA.

Zero clue on why the SPC removed the entirety of the risk across E IA and NE MO.

it's going to blast through.

evening trend not your friend.

LOT confirmed 1 tornado in their CWA from this event. 1 tornado in NW IN. The 2025 LOT CWA tornado count is now 14.