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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Today’s trend has been to reverse yesterday’s trend. Yesterday’s we saw guidance come in less phased, less amped and flatter with the main wave…thus, weaker, south and drier. Today’s trend reversed all of that.
  2. Overnight will be 48 hours out from the start in the CWA, so they're going to have to go with a watch with the evening or early morning package.
  3. Looking over guidance from today, the big thing that sticks out is how much wetter the Euro/EPS are compared to almost all other guidance. We have seen through the years that the Euro tends to be on the drier side more often than not, and when it is, it is usually close to reality. So, it'll be interesting to see how it does with being on the wetter side this go-around.
  4. LOT is 100% going to play it safe this go-around, after the single person blunder with the LES event.
  5. The NAM is tentatively scheduled to be retired in March 2026. After a ton of delays through the years for various reasons, we finally have a time. I'd expect it may shift a bit, but the point is, the end is finally near.
  6. As is always the case in good patterns, there two routes that are always of a concern… Too suppressed or well phased. This one is currently trending towards the latter recently.
  7. As we know, there’s a multitude of ways it can fail (our recent history says it will), but you have to admire the look at least.
  8. Short and sweet for now… 2013. This is the best looking pattern on paper I can recall when heading into December since then.
  9. This was from just a short time ago near home…
  10. I can see the lights even here at ORD currently.
  11. Highest report I've been able to come across is 17" in Winthrop Harbor.
  12. ORD got on the board with the first T and first measurable snow of the new season on Saturday night/Sunday morning, with the hybrid storm system that moved through. A whopping 0.1" of snow occurred (Area reports suggest that was probably a few tenths too low). ORD picked up 1.6" of snowfall last night/this morning, with the lake effect snow event. Winter 2025/26 Snowfall Totals 1.7" - ORD 1.2" - RFD
  13. You know who should be fired for that AFD on Sunday morning.
  14. The thing is, there was stationary banding, two in fact. The issue was more that the core of the metro was just split by both bands, just due to unfavorable positioning. The main-full lake plume ended up too far west (Racine-Kenosha-Waukegan) and the southern lake/meso-low band was too far south (Lake Co, IN to Iroquois Co).
  15. It is looking like downtown, ORD and MDW will miss out on the best of this one. There are two areas of interest for maximum accumulation totals. Location #1 will be from the Gary-Valpo area down to the Kankakee area, where snowfall is maximized on the backside of the meso-low. Location #2 will be from around Kenosha down to around Lake Forest, where the main single band looks to have found it's spot to park for several hours.
  16. The massive meso-low currently at the southern tip of the lake is just cranking. Can't recall seeing something to that magnitude before around here.
  17. One of many… But this particular meso-low earlier this afternoon was quite significant.
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