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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. i’m pulling for the gfs, just to rain (snow) on doc’s parade.
  2. i like the moderate risk, i like a 10/15% tor. my only thought would have been to increase hail probs as well. not often i give the spc an atta boy, but here you go.
  3. there's still a good spread, but a majority are a quality hit along/north of the border currently.
  4. Fog was significant here the previous two nights. Had an extended period of 1/8SM at ORD on Wednesday night and Thursday night.
  5. Today was a fluke, but it goes to show why the new SPC format is flawed trash. The science is currently not good enough and never will be good enough to set a min/max on hail size, wind speed and tor strength in outlooks and MD's.
  6. https://x.com/Ham_BklynWx/status/2030018538727956893?s=20
  7. kinda unremarkable, if you dig into chicago weather history. it happens more than you think, that is a lack of snow during winter months at times. i'm not just talking recently over the past few years either.
  8. essentially. March 2012 (53.5) was warmer than April 2012 (50.7) in Chicago.
  9. looks like this will have significant pull after-all…
  10. big-time model guidance fail for today's event, and even in event performance was horrendous. where upwards of 4-8" of snow occurred, the hrrr had only a dusting and the euro had only 1-3", for example.
  11. statistical information on winter in chicago, since the historic winter of 2013/14... like i've said, this is the snowiest and coldest season we've seen in years.
  12. well, if you’re going that route… then the amount of snow that occurred in november is generally something that is unrealistic.
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