development has occurred. we'll see how it trends the remainder of the night and into the morning.
the bigger issue may end up being upstream, actually. most guidance is doing a fairly bad job regarding the evolution of things across the dakotas and vicinity. most guidance suggested that mcs formation would come from supercells tracking across the dakotas this evening and tonight, paired with additional development as well. not only should that scenario already have been unfolding by now, but it seems to be out the window based on evolution in reality over the past few hours.
if this big mcs is going to come to fruition, it'll have to be from an entirely different process than most guidance had shown.