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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. too bad temps aren’t colder… .
  2. Overnight disturbance dusted the area… ORD - 0.4” MDW - 0.1” RFD - 0.5” .
  3. 6z guidance generally came in weaker/east for the most part, and slower developing. Weaker/drier/east is a trend you need not want to see in the Chicago metro/NE Illinois. Shall see if it was a one run blip, or if it actually turns into a trend. .
  4. That compact-potent disturbance moving through tonight is doing work out in Iowa. 1-3" reports in E Iowa, snow squall warning near DSM, and probably should have another in E Iowa. There was also a bit of TSSN earlier.
  5. Chicago/O'Hare received 0.93" of precipitation on January 9th, which broke the record precipitation total for the date of 0.76", which was set in 1946.
  6. Chicago/O'Hare received 0.93" of precipitation on January 9th, which broke the record precipitation total for the date of 0.76", which was set in 1946.
  7. Final storm snowfall totals…ORD - 3.2"MDW - 3.8"RFD - 3.9"
  8. They like to avoid that situation, because it is indeed a downgrade.
  9. Cook Co is split into 3 zones for headlines. Will Co has a similar split as well.
  10. A watch for downtown and near lake areas seems highly questionable at this point. At least for now...
  11. That's not quite how it works. Ratio's would still not be optimal, but you would improve pavement accumulation.
  12. Here’s a link to a limited amount of experimental output… https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=rrfs_na_3km_dev1_conus_jet&domain=full%3Ahrrr&run_time=10+Jan+2024+-+00Z Latest update that I saw was that after several delays, implementation was planned for end of 2024. The FV3 will also be part of things. Here’s a link the the experimental output from it… https://fim.noaa.gov/FV3new/ The whole system will eventually replace the HRRR, RAP, Hi-Res Window, and NAM’s. .
  13. The RRFS is a whole ENS package. That is just one experimental hi-res, which yes, also has not performed well. .
  14. y’all have to stop with the NAM. it’s trash and it’s life clock is nearing 0, once the RRFS is implemented successfully. .
  15. GHD2 can’t even get a mention. With that one temps dropped quite a bit during the long-duration storm. With this one temps will not crash until it’s pretty much wrapped up, as currently modeled that is. So easy toss.
  16. Too bad surface temps look marginal once again for this one around here, should it come to fruition.
  17. Lake effect rain/snow getting going in SE Wisconsin and NE IL. .
  18. The same January event listed for ORD, so two that winter. Prior to that you have to go back to GHD2.
  19. The last double digit and 12"+ event downtown was Feb 14-16th, 2021. https://www.weather.gov/lot/Feb14-16_HeavySnow The last double digit event at ORD was Jan 30-31st, 2021 and the last 12"+ event was GHD2. https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan3031_snow
  20. Snowfall totals as of 6PM…ORD - 3.2"MDW - 3.8"RFD - 3.4"
  21. Another hour, another SNINCR OBS here at ORD... KORD 092151Z 36009KT 1/4SM R10L/5000VP6000FT +SN FG VV004 01/00 A2896 RMK AO2 SLP811 SNINCR 1/3 P0011 T00060000 $
  22. I've seen it rip dendrites and pixies like this countless times before, but ripping aggregates like this is a new one.
  23. KORD 092051Z 02010KT 1/4SM R10L/4000VP6000FT +SN FG OVC004 01/00 A2896 RMK AO2 SLP812 SNINCR 1/2 P0006 60027 T00060000 56033 $
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