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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Gonna be close, but the best returns/snow may actually miss ORD to the SE. We needed a SE trend, and may have gotten too much of one.
  2. Kansas City had 3" in 3 hours earlier, per LOT AFD.
  3. Now that synoptic precip has waned, LES is much more evident across SE. WI and NE. IL. UGN and RAC reporting 3/4M vis right now. At first I thought they were off given only light LES returns, until I checked webcams in the area...
  4. It's actually performing fairly well down southwest, with widespread 2-5" reports.
  5. Lakeshore conditions are fairly significant in NE. Illinois. High waves and surge are causing widespread flooding and erosion.
  6. There is an arc of deep convection from the Gulf into Canada. Moisture transport is not being hindered for anything currently ongoing. As I mentioned, activity has just been more progressive than expected. Even going back to model guidance just from 24hrs ago, guidance was too slow with eastward progression and over-estimated training.
  7. That's not whats happening so far. The arc of rain has been more progressive, instead of training.
  8. LE ongoing in SE. WI and NE. IL. That should bode well for enhancement of snows later.
  9. No real point now given how terrible guidance is, just a guessing game. Still a spread for later today/tonight. Metro could get 1-3" or 4-7". Who knows anymore...
  10. The summary so far is guidance sucked, and an under-performance just about everywhere in every aspect...almost. Only things that seem to be panning out are the high winds and a corridor in MO/IL/IN that did as expected with rainfall. .
  11. 0848 PM ICE STORM ELDON 40.92N 92.23W 01/10/2020 WAPELLO IA PUBLIC TREES COVERED IN ICE AND SNAPPING IN SE WAPELLO COUNTY.
  12. 0728 PM FREEZING RAIN BLOOMFIELD 40.75N 92.42W 01/10/2020 M0.20 INCH DAVIS IA PUBLIC 0.2 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES NOTED.
  13. I think it's just the usual case where the RAP will need to play catch-up. Probably will see it do so a bit by the longer range 3z run.
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