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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Indeed. Clearing rapidly occurred between 12-1PM, with temps starting to rebound...Up around 80 now.
  2. The MCS moving through this morning will definitely make for interesting temp watching today. An example of how fast things can rebound...After storms mid-afternoon yesterday, the temp jumped from 78 to 88 at ORD. .
  3. All hi-res coming in has some sort of activity earlier in the day. The 3k NAM is the most extreme, and I’d guess overdone as well. So we’re probably either going to have late recovery and barely hit 90...Or somehow most activity stays north and/or exits very early with mid-upper 90’s. .
  4. The biggest change from what was seen on guidance a few days ago is that there is no real ridge developing...instead we are seeing a more zonal flow.
  5. That is definitely more likely given how things have gone. The DPA-MBY/06C-PWK area has been the warmer spot all season.
  6. I give it a very high chance of getting 99'd, especially with it usually being the cooler spot in the metro now. I'm not as concerned as I once was for tomorrow, but still am for Saturday.
  7. Gonna go with 92/97/99/92 Wed-Sat for ORD. .
  8. It's looking increasingly possible that what once looked like a solid 6 day heat wave (Wed-Mon), could potentially end up just being one day (Fri) around here. Each day, outside of Friday, has some sort of fail potential. Tomorrow a lake breeze and associated showers and t'storms could prevent 90+. On Thursday, a weakening MCS is expected in the morning, and if it lingers could prevent 90+. Friday is a slam dunk 90+ day, and probably mid-upper 90's at that. Saturday has increasing potential to feature a frontal passage and t'storms at some point, which could also prevent 90+ potential. The much earlier frontal passage will also prevent 90+ on Sunday and Monday. The biggest change over the past several days is that guidance has really lost the decent ridge that was expected to develop and kick the jet stream north, and instead has a weaker ridge under a more zonal flow pattern. Guidance has also stepped back in the warmer UA temps being advected to the east as once advertised, which is not surprising given the first point.
  9. 94 at ORD and MDW yesterday, and 95 here. 91 at ORD, 90 MDW and 94 here today. MBY, and the western suburbs in general, have been consistently warmer that the immediate UHI the past month or so. Some days the lake has played a role, such as today, and other days not so much.
  10. Yea, in 2012 ORD actually lead the pack many times. However, a few years ago the location of the OBS site was moved on the property. Additionally, they have finished some nearby construction, while starting other new nearby construction. Those changes are likely playing a role as well...
  11. The GFS and ECMWF are in a agreement on the potential for a string of around 90 to 90+ days starting tomorrow, through the following weekend. There are hints of some real heat late next week and the following weekend as well, with both models showing 100's as well.
  12. There has been confirmation that the sensor is in good working order.
  13. 94 at ORD, 96 at MDW and 95 here today. Hottest temps of the year across the board.
  14. 91 at ORD and 92 at MDW today 91 here. The past week and a half will go down as a low end heat wave for portions of the area. ORD ended up with five 90+ days, and was 89'd three times. IMBY it hit 90+ all 10 days of the stretch...Being further away from the lake helped a few of the days. Day........ORD......MDW........Here 26th........89............90..............90 27th........89............90..............91 28th........90............91..............91 29th........87............87..............90 30th........91............89..............92 1st...........89............91..............90 2nd.........92............92..............94 3rd..........86............86..............90 4th..........91............91..............91 5th..........91............92..............91 ............................................................ 90+..........5..............7...............10
  15. Hit 91 at ORD, MDW and here today. Hot and humid...Perfect 4th of July. .
  16. 92 at ORD and MDW today. 94 here, as we escaped the OFB's for a while longer. 7th consecutive 90+ day here as well.
  17. ORD had a small storm move overhead earlier, thus the cooler temps at that point. Looks like peak temp of 91 there so far.
  18. ORD 89'd today, while MDW hit 91. 90 here, making it the 6th consecutive 90+ day.
  19. Decent hit today here with the first MCS. Ended up with some smaller tree branches down in the area, estimated winds up to around 60mph. Have been without power since the storms hit...Not due to the winds, but instead lighting. A tree was struck across the way, and took down a power pole and lines, and it all caught on fire. .
  20. 91 ORD and 89 MDW today. 92 here, making it the 5th consecutive 90+ day. .
  21. 87 at ORD and MDW today. The flow off the lake kept them a bit cooler. Hit 90 here, 4th 90+ day in a row. .
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