Chicago Storm

Eh, could go either way with that. Some guidance is on the more "mild" side, which obviously with long duration, is naso good.

Euro is a dawg. .

I wouldn't favor a good phase/huge event like some ENS show. Flow is still fairly steadily moving, and seasonal trend has been for unfavorable phases. Also, the EPO which had been projected to go negative not too long ago now looks to stay neutral to positive...which won't help things.

They have increased. But not sure that support even means anything, given ENS have been big on past events this winter...

Want to see the warmer version of GHD1? The 12z GEM is it. .

This sort of post is not tolerated in my thread. .

Several GEFS and EPS with big dogs in the region, with a few ultra dogs on the EPS. Can’t wait for the DAB. .

i did it

ok

Had a mix of rain/snow this afternoon, before flipping to all rain. No accumulation though. .

Along with the record of -7 on the 13th, the former record of -8 for today are both actually the only two record lows not -10 or lower for early/mid-Feb (Feb 1-25th).

-2 at ORD and -1 at MDW.

lol at some of you clinging on to hope. MN/WI event.

DAB is the call.

For the lolz. Totals are actually higher, but had to do 24hr total to lose current storm contamination.

And DST shortly thereafter.

Around average could be fairly easy to attain, given we’ve already had a few light events and will probably rack up a few more...and average is Like sustained winter potential being DOA, cold is probably forgone too...outside of one or two very brief shots possible in the next 10 days or so, due the the brief -EPO push. Other than that, it’ll likely stay around or above normal temp wise. .

See ya next season...

lol

I've had 1"+ snow depth and temps in the 30's for 2 weeks now, in the heart of winter... pretty wintry to me.

You're hoping for something that is not realistic for where we live. Winter 2013/14 is not how with should be. That season was a severe anomaly in the grand scheme of things. And for you to say it was just "pretty good" is quite lol worthy. I can also tell you don't follow summer that closely given you think the only cool summer was 1992 in somewhat recent times. While yes, many summers have a majority of days from early June-early Sept that are 80+, this is just like most winters have a majority of days that are in the 30's or colder.

How is our climo bad? It is what it is for where we live. We have cold/snowy winters...and we have mild/snow-less winters. Mind you, we just had a top 5 coldest/snowiest winter just a few years ago. No different than in the warm season either... We have cool or severe t'storm-less summers...and we have hot and active severe t'storm summers.

Weeklies want to have a big cold push or two coming up in the first 1-2 weeks of Feb.

As I mentioned nearly 2 weeks ago, a pattern that featured more cold/snow chances than we seen all winter would be possible/likely to continue, which it has...and it looks likely to continue for the foreseeable future. The +EPO/+AO/+NAO regime has continued, though an overall toned down version compared to what it once was was. However, as was also mentioned in my last post, EPS was trending towards a bigger +EPO spike for a time, which has come to fruition. We are in that period now, which has been one thing that has aided in the mild/stagnant kind of temp pattern were are in right now, and may lead to the brief spike of even warmer temps this weekend/early next week. The continued good news is that EPS is in good agreement on having the +EPO relax once again after this current spike, favoring in the vicinity of neutral/or near neutral +/-. The +AO will likely continue, but there are signs the NAO will also favor the vicinity of neutral or so. After a trip into positive territory for a while, the PNA is also expected to return to neutral/low end negative, which should also help things a bit. Teleconnections will still not be amazing and only so-so, the PV will be of no help yet, and the MJO will still be unfavorable...The pattern for the foreseeable future still does not scream big turn around or sustained winter, but it will continue to be enough to bring continued cold shot potential and snow chance potential, though the lack of a -EPO will keep any cold in check. The bad news is that as was seen with the past three storm systems, it'll be a cluster****.