Chicago Storm
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R/S line is about 1 county north of I-70.
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All has to do with that strung out southern wave. We were concerned about the northern wave early on, and in the end it's the southern wave preventing a more organized system.
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It's the way to go though. 10:1 maps have little worth these days.
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Autumn/Winter 2019-2020 Banter/Complaint Thread
Chicago Storm replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
And DST shortly thereafter. -
All 18z foreign guidance bumped north/wetter.
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Ratios are not going to be anything special until very early Thursday morning into the day on Thursday.
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$$$
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It's along the Arctic front.
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Hopefully it’s corrected in the upgrade coming this year. .
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NAM and 3km with their snowiest runs yet around here. .
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It always does that. Not gonna see a drop of rain. .
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6z Euro is back south. Overnight trends have been naso good for around here. .
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It’s a step better than 12z. Ukie still isn’t as nice either, but is much better overall for the region than 12z. .
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0z NAM continuing the trend of a northern wave which dives in more. Looks like the southern wave ejecting out a bit strung out keeps this run from having a big dog. .
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Pretty much.
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I lied... 18z Euro was an even better phase.
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R/S line was further south. SLP and precip swath were north, due to the better phase.
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Euro is likely just about the best phase we can probably get out of this setup.
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Stronger, wetter and more phased.
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.
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About 2 days away from the event, and now fairly good agreement between Euro/GFS/NAM/ICON...Which means this is the scenario that won't occur.
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The trend on 6z guidance, and now continued on 12z guidance, is for the northern stream to be further west and dig more...which in turn allows for more phasing, and a better/further north storm system.
