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Chicago Storm

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  1. Chicago Storm
    For reference for ORD... The last 10”+ snowstorm was Nov 20-21st 2015. (11.2”) The last 12”+ snowstorm was GHD2 in 2015, and the previous before that was GHD1 in 2011. .
  2. Chicago Storm
    NAM with only 6:1-10:1 ratios much of the event, due to the marginal surface temps most of the time. 12:1 with that QPF would have been like ~25” .
  3. Chicago Storm
    .
  4. Chicago Storm
    The calm before... .
  5. Chicago Storm
    Yea, nice bump south. We are surprisingly close to a consensus between Euro/NAM/ICON/GFS, with the UKMET being the furthest off. .
  6. Chicago Storm
    6z Euro .
  7. Chicago Storm
    .
  8. Chicago Storm
    Yea, just different evolution and phasing this run.
  9. Chicago Storm
    Toss.
  10. Chicago Storm
    Wind don't look to be anything too significant as of now.
  11. Chicago Storm
    Still snowing at the end of the run as well.
  12. Chicago Storm
    EPS favoring similar area...
  13. Chicago Storm
    We kind of saw that with the past few events...In which we see guidance trend towards the furthest north possible solution, before slipping back south a bit. We'll see if that's the case this time around.
  14. Chicago Storm
  15. Chicago Storm
    Trend seems to be NW for now. Not that sampling has helped guidance at all this season...southern wave by 0z this evening and northern wave by 0z tomorrow evening. .
  16. Chicago Storm
    18z GFS would be top event of the winter. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    3 days away from the first flakes. So close, yet so far.
  18. Chicago Storm
    EPS have several 10-20" dawgs in the region, few even higher.
  19. Chicago Storm
    Eh, could go either way with that. Some guidance is on the more "mild" side, which obviously with long duration, is naso good.
  20. Chicago Storm
  21. Chicago Storm
    Euro is a dawg. .
  22. Chicago Storm
    I wouldn't favor a good phase/huge event like some ENS show. Flow is still fairly steadily moving, and seasonal trend has been for unfavorable phases. Also, the EPO which had been projected to go negative not too long ago now looks to stay neutral to positive...which won't help things.
  23. Chicago Storm
    They have increased. But not sure that support even means anything, given ENS have been big on past events this winter...
  24. Chicago Storm
    Want to see the warmer version of GHD1? The 12z GEM is it. .
  25. Chicago Storm
    This sort of post is not tolerated in my thread. .
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