Chicago Storm
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Looks like guidance finally has a handle on things, as confirmed by how radar is shaping up. Kudos for the Euro leading the way over the past 18-24hrs. There’s going to be one heck of a snowfall gradient from NW-SE across the heart of the LOT CWA.
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Just had a very close CG hit here at home. Shook the house, and rearranged pictures on the wall.
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essentially this. just take a look at ens guidance currently, and the range that still exists at this time. some ens have a non-event south of the wi/il border, some favor cycloneville for, others favor the mchenry area crew, and there are numerous that favor the metro.
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yep.
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i shared the stats not too long ago. this is our best season in terms of both snow and cold in several years.
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fun to watch the shift in guidance today… much of 12z guidance shifted north, except the euro, which shifted south. now, much of 18z guidance is shifting south, and the euro has doubled down to shift even more south. zero surprise over any of this.
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lol, no.
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no.
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i'm hoping for something?
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doc, did you switch accounts?
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not really north. you get that illusion due to the changes in the precip field, which is caused by different interactions aloft.
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Peak wind gusts from last night and this morning... 64MPH - ORD 60MPH - MDW 62MPH - RFD
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18z nam…
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has forced squall line/qlcs, with damaging winds and embedded tors written all over it.
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that's top tier for a synoptic wind event in this region.
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it is, and that's good to see. i've said before that the folks up north need to create threads and post more often.
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this set-up, with the secondary quick-deepening slp, isn't really a baroclinic zone rider. the path it will take will be fully dependent on wave ejection/interaction/phasing.
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i wouldn't say that i'm optimistic. it's just more-so knowing that nothing is locked in yet (even if some seem to think that it is), and interested in seeing how it all pans out.
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one of the main issues is that we just don't have a ton of people that live up in the portion of mn, wi, and mi that are a lock for the goods. and the ones that we do have - have chimed in with their interest.
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i wouldn’t get comfortable with anything just yet (good or bad). it’s a very complex evolution overall.
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i’m surprised we haven’t seen see some random op run keep the main wave more consolidated as it digs, and close it off further south as it goes negative tilt, leading to a ghd1 level solution further south. i saw a few ens previously do that a day or two ago, but wanted to see the lolz from an op.
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House across the street has had some shingles ripped off.
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G64MPH ORD and G70MPH GYY.
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G64MPH UGN.
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High winds have begun… RFD G60MPH.
