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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. The NWS Central Region did a few years ago. The move was made to make simplify things and lower the number of headlines types overall. But at the same time, it's kind of of dumb, because this is clearly not a "winter storm". Gain simplicity, lose accuracy.
  2. If it works out perfectly, you’re getting Buffalo-ed. As you well know, odds say it won’t. But, if it does…
  3. The problem re: Chicago snowfall records… The core of activity will likely be east of ORD. So, in the end, it may be tough to see any sort of record falls, unless best activity is surprisingly further west. Orientation may even keep MDW out of the absolute best as well, but we’ll see. Better shot there than ORD. Of course, nothing there would be official, but it would be documented at least.
  4. If you're pulling for a scenario for the weekend, you want it to be the Euro (and company) solution... ULL, inverted trough and lake meso-low combo. The lake parameters some guidance is showing is top tier.
  5. Autumn Blaze Maple in the backyard is poppin’…
  6. Reports of graupel across the metro area this afternoon.
  7. i don’t know why they even issue outlooks. they just look at a classic ENSO map and plot it.
  8. I'm in an "I'll believe it when I see it" mindset in regards to that. Hopefully it occurs at some point, though... As we all know there is a good handful of tors that have most definitely been EF-5 through the years.
  9. i think you underestimate how many normies enjoy fall weather. you're looking at it from the perspective of jonesing for interesting weather, where-as regulars do not care about that.
  10. Some locations were able to sneak in a couple of early October 90°'s this past weekend. MDW was one of those locations, with a high of 90° on Friday. ...2025 90°+ Day Tally... 31 - MDW 29 - ARR 28 - DPA 28 - PWK 27 - ORD 22 - LOT 20 - RFD 19 - UGN
  11. The EF-5-less streak is over…
  12. don’t fall for that social media post going around. that’s just the crops fading and being harvested. literally looks like that every year around this time.
  13. September 2025 finished tied as the 7th driest September on record for Chicago. Driest September's 1. 0.01" - 1979 2. 0.26" - 2004 3. 0.31" - 1940 4. 0.32" - 2017 4. 0.32" - 1891 6. 0.46" - 1956 7. 0.49" - 2025 7. 0.49" - 1939 9. 0.74" - 1871 10. 0.77" - 1962
  14. September 2025 finished tied as the 7th driest September on record for Chicago. Driest September's 1. 0.01" - 1979 2. 0.26" - 2004 3. 0.31" - 1940 4. 0.32" - 2017 4. 0.32" - 1891 6. 0.46" - 1956 7. 0.49" - 2025 7. 0.49" - 1939 9. 0.74" - 1871 10. 0.77" - 1962
  15. Some locations were able to sneak in a rare late September 90°+ day on Monday. MDW was one of those locations, with a high of 90° on Monday. I said this a week ago, so we'll see if it sticks this time... We are likely done for the year with 90°+ days, so the below will likely be the final overall tally for the year. ...2025 90°+ Day Tally... 30 - MDW 28 - DPA 28 - PWK 27 - ORD 27 - ARR 22 - LOT 20 - RFD 17 - UGN
  16. Probably the most significant pattern change we've seen in a while is on the horizon... We're going to replace the constant re-loading +EPO with a re-loading -EPO and -PNA. This will likely will lead to a more active weather pattern than we've seen (That's not hard to do) and more of an up/down temperature regime, with some shots of real fall conditions.
  17. MDW was able to sneak in a high of 90° on Friday. We are likely done for the year with 90°+ days, so the below will likely be the final overall tally for the year. ...2025 90°+ Day Tally... 29 - MDW 28 - PWK 27 - ORD 27 - DPA 26 - ARR 22 - LOT 20 - RFD 17 - UGN
  18. ENS keep a re-loading a +EPO for the rest of the month. If nothing else were to factor in, that would keep the mild/warm temps in place.
  19. nelson is like one of the most chill people here. so, to say he’s annoying is super lol. definitely a projection there.
  20. We added a couple more 90°+ days this past weekend... It hit 91° at ORD and 92° at MDW on Friday. It topped out at 95° at ORD and 96° at MDW on Saturday. ...2025 90°+ Day Tally... 28 - MDW 28 - PWK 27 - ORD 27 - DPA 26 - ARR 22 - LOT 20 - RFD 17 - UGN
  21. The SPC is too hung up on that struggling MCS across S WI and N IL. Main focus will be south near remnant outflow, which is partially washing out to the far west in IA. E IA into N IL will be more of the focal point for new development this afternoon.
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