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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    Overnight will be 48 hours out from the start in the CWA, so they're going to have to go with a watch with the evening or early morning package.
  2. Chicago Storm
    Looking over guidance from today, the big thing that sticks out is how much wetter the Euro/EPS are compared to almost all other guidance. We have seen through the years that the Euro tends to be on the drier side more often than not, and when it is, it is usually close to reality. So, it'll be interesting to see how it does with being on the wetter side this go-around.
  3. Chicago Storm
    CJ is the worst of the worst.
  4. Chicago Storm
    LOT is 100% going to play it safe this go-around, after the single person blunder with the LES event.
  5. Chicago Storm
    500mb evolution on the 12z Euro is…
  6. Chicago Storm
    The NAM is tentatively scheduled to be retired in March 2026. After a ton of delays through the years for various reasons, we finally have a time. I'd expect it may shift a bit, but the point is, the end is finally near.
  7. Chicago Storm
    As is always the case in good patterns, there two routes that are always of a concern… Too suppressed or well phased. This one is currently trending towards the latter recently.
  8. Chicago Storm
    NOW it won’t happen.
  9. Chicago Storm
    stop looking at the op gfs.
  10. Chicago Storm
    As we know, there’s a multitude of ways it can fail (our recent history says it will), but you have to admire the look at least.
  11. Chicago Storm
    Short and sweet for now… 2013. This is the best looking pattern on paper I can recall when heading into December since then.
  12. Chicago Storm
    This was from just a short time ago near home…
  13. Chicago Storm
    I can see the lights even here at ORD currently.
  14. Chicago Storm
    Highest report I've been able to come across is 17" in Winthrop Harbor.
  15. Chicago Storm
    ORD got on the board with the first T and first measurable snow of the new season on Saturday night/Sunday morning, with the hybrid storm system that moved through. A whopping 0.1" of snow occurred (Area reports suggest that was probably a few tenths too low). ORD picked up 1.6" of snowfall last night/this morning, with the lake effect snow event. Winter 2025/26 Snowfall Totals 1.7" - ORD 1.2" - RFD
  16. Chicago Storm
    You know who should be fired for that AFD on Sunday morning.
  17. Chicago Storm
    The thing is, there was stationary banding, two in fact. The issue was more that the core of the metro was just split by both bands, just due to unfavorable positioning. The main-full lake plume ended up too far west (Racine-Kenosha-Waukegan) and the southern lake/meso-low band was too far south (Lake Co, IN to Iroquois Co).
  18. Chicago Storm
    It is looking like downtown, ORD and MDW will miss out on the best of this one. There are two areas of interest for maximum accumulation totals. Location #1 will be from the Gary-Valpo area down to the Kankakee area, where snowfall is maximized on the backside of the meso-low. Location #2 will be from around Kenosha down to around Lake Forest, where the main single band looks to have found it's spot to park for several hours.
  19. Chicago Storm
    Someone I know has reported graupel.
  20. Chicago Storm
    Right over downtown on the feed.
  21. Chicago Storm
    The massive meso-low currently at the southern tip of the lake is just cranking. Can't recall seeing something to that magnitude before around here.
  22. Chicago Storm
    One of many… But this particular meso-low earlier this afternoon was quite significant.
  23. Chicago Storm
    The NWS Central Region did a few years ago. The move was made to make simplify things and lower the number of headlines types overall. But at the same time, it's kind of of dumb, because this is clearly not a "winter storm". Gain simplicity, lose accuracy.
  24. Chicago Storm
    If it works out perfectly, you’re getting Buffalo-ed. As you well know, odds say it won’t. But, if it does…
  25. Chicago Storm
    The problem re: Chicago snowfall records… The core of activity will likely be east of ORD. So, in the end, it may be tough to see any sort of record falls, unless best activity is surprisingly further west. Orientation may even keep MDW out of the absolute best as well, but we’ll see. Better shot there than ORD. Of course, nothing there would be official, but it would be documented at least.
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