mimillman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 At least the NW flow had some dusters every once in a while. This is just a train wreck 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Dismal near-term look, and that valentine's day storm that was looking promising for a few runs has trended away. let's fast forward to the 19th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 At least the NW flow had some dusters every once in a while. This is just a train wreck GFS gives us some beneficial rain at least. Something to hang your hat on. Nice thump for the northeast on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The AO index has been negative since about Christmas. The AO index isn't calculated based off temperature anomalies, but look at this plot of 1000mb heights over the Arctic Ocean vs Europe. The official calculation of the AO is based on 1000mb height anomalies (close to S.L.P. anomalies,) projected onto a loading pattern and doing the calculus. I would call it a very negative NAO, but the CPC values aren't so negative. And 850mb temperature anomalies in Greenland vs Europe and the USA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Virginia is for snow lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I'll take the 300hr 12z GFS run pleez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Zzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The great VD storm of 2026 has yet to show its face. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 If only skipping ahead to late March weather could get us to spring early. Meanwhile, it is still winter in the northeast. Quite a respectable one for them so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I know everyone here just seems to have mood swings with each op model run but the look on the ensembles in late February doesn’t look bad to me at all. You have Canada filled with Arctic air, a -PNA and the seasonal warming in the south as we head toward March. The ingredients are there for interesting stuff IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 21 minutes ago, roardog said: I know everyone here just seems to have mood swings with each op model run but the look on the ensembles in late February doesn’t look bad to me at all. You have Canada filled with Arctic air, a -PNA and the seasonal warming in the south as we head toward March. The ingredients are there for interesting stuff IMO. Its been a fantastic winter for cold, snowfall, and snowcover. Just need the cherry on top (big storm). Would love to see that end of Feb or Mar. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Zzzzzzz 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzzz I concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzzz At least it's been a good kind of Zzzzzzz for some of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Not just zzzzzz. Full on coma. Open the pools. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 March will be rockin' 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 25 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: March will be rockin' where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Deep cold definitely eroding but per the weeklies the persistent warmth looks to remain in the west. Since Thanksgiving, except for 2 brief thaws, we have been treated to a continuous fresh, clean and glistening snow blanket (none of that hoping the torch passes to preseve a crusty pack) with nonstop cold. Feels like a Winnipeg winter. But whats been lacking locally is a real big storm (biggest was 6.2"). With the eroding of the deep cold and the getting to that time of year when real dynamic late winter/early spring storms can develop, its the transition from deep winter to gambling time. More risk, more reward type. Might as well buckle up, what have we got to lose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/8/2026 at 1:52 PM, Baum said: The great VD storm of 2026 has yet to show its face. There it is: IN THE EVENT PRECIP DOES EXPAND WELL NORTH INTO THE AREA, ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE IN PLAY LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY. AS A NORTHERLY TREND IN THIS SYSTEM WOULD INTRODUCE MORE POPS TO THE AREA, WHICH COULD BE IN THE FORM OF WINTRY WEATHER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 where?I’d guess Wisconsin and Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 hours ago, ILSNOW said: where? I don't know. Just felt like saying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PositiveEPOEnjoyer Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Wonder if @cyclone77 will tag 70 next week? I wouldn't rule it out based on recent model runs... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 hours ago, cyclone77 said: March will be rockin' Severe or snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 37 minutes ago, frostfern said: Severe or snow? Hopefully both lol. March can be a very interesting month with a ton of variability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Multi-day mid-month blowtorch on tonight's GFS. It's not good to get that kind of stuff in February, so I hope it is overdoing the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Winter about done? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Stick a fork in it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Never a good sign when only the Canadian and ICON are on your side. All of the other models are way south. Don't they say a blind squirrel sometimes finds a nut.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Winter about done?MJO seems to suggest it is. What does @Chicago Storm think? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/1/2026 at 12:28 PM, mimillman said: Torch incoming Snowpack nuked today. Torch has begun. I’m all for it just need a soaker now 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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