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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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3 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Just like everything in meteorology, it seems that there’s always one thing that can trump something else, albeit only in very rare cases, and that seems to be happening with that clipper.  
 

I mentioned this a week or two ago, the NAO has not helped us much in the last few years. It either has suppressed systems(yesterdays Virginia snow), and now it’s letting a clipper cut to Ottawa…we can’t seem to win with these NAO blocks. 

I’m curious about why that is? Is there some other teleconnection that is overpowering the NAO to allow these systems to cut?

At some point I hope ORH can score better than 00s NYC.

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs went from flaccid to powder keg look on one run. Lol

add the GGEM's 12z improvement..

image.png.d86ac58ed35a9ae11c7593bcdebdccc6.png

what leaps out is the extreme general thickness ( hydrostatic hgts) gradient along which this paltry ( for now...) looking low is riding along.  The flow is having trouble "kinking" in time... ad nauseam, because of the faster than normal basal velocity.  But this elucidates the high potential should that correct just pubes more so... you'd wind up a rapid deepener, albeit progressive - but who's judging when begging.  Just gotta bend the flow in time and   BOOM

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1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

12Z GEFS has the signal as well. Nice to see heights building out west which is why we are seeing this storminess popping up around that timeframe 12th/13th.

yeah, can see heights trending higher in the West and the trough inching into a better spot as a result 

IMG_3024.thumb.gif.b4480773c7eb48796986154ef9880847.gif

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38 minutes ago, kdxken said:

20251206_130812.jpg

Impressive. But some insist that nothing is different from the last few years.   And I get it…if you don’t have any snow, then whoopty Doo right.  But I think we score something pretty soon. 
 

Edit: And that doesn’t even show the Virginia snow that fell there yesterday. So that percentage would go up a bit. 

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21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Gotta love the Euro's rendition of that 20th beast...  

ruins Xmas by rolling up the entire electrical infrastructure into a giant fur ball, then vomits it out to sea.  Here we go a pipes a-freezening

image.png.177bd640e26ffdadfde59ce9d5c1c9b3.png

Yeah at least if it’s all gone, so is the grid.

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1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Where can I see a continental view of these?  The Pivotal free site has only the US view.

Unfortunately you can’t. I was just looking on pivotal. You can see more of a wider view for the EPS on tropical tidbits, but that roles out after 3.

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah at least if it’s all gone, so is the grid.

 

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Gotta love the Euro's rendition of that 20th beast...  

ruins Xmas by rolling up the entire electrical infrastructure into a giant fur ball, then vomits it out to sea.  Here we go a pipes a-freezening

image.png.177bd640e26ffdadfde59ce9d5c1c9b3.png

 

Those winds will put the 4x more I needed to pay for property insurance at the new Pit to the test.

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1 hour ago, butterfish55 said:

Not only do we not have any snow on the ground, we haven't seen a single flake of snow here in TBlizzland. Definitely not a memorable December here so far

Pouring now, btw
 

I thought T-Blizz  was joking about that.

It’s bright blue skies in Greenfield right now.

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11 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:
30 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:
I thought T-Blizz  was joking about that.
It’s bright blue skies in Greenfield right now.

Nope, no joke. 0.0.....not even a flake (that I'm aware of). It's been quite a winter so far!!!

It’s still Autumn. 

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