December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Ha my wife is watching a youtube vid on Kate right now. 

What a great day for hiking all of the Presidentials that was

[alex]

Stake reached 10” today - first double digits of the season till the grinch storm wipes is out. Nice snowy day. Lots of new terrain open including several ungroomed natural snow trails. 
 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Picked up 0.3" from that first squall line. Now we squalling again.

[weatherwiz]

HRRR remains quite aggressive for tomorrow night into Sat

[mreaves]

From 30° at 9:00 am to 13° now

[SJonesWX]

23 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Outside playing with my 3 yr old and can it ripping just to my north.

trust me when I say that you didn't miss much. about 5 mins of snow, nothing crazy, with 0.000000000000 accumulating

[alex]

Jesus the front must be coming through here. It’s like whiteout conditions 

[wxeyeNH]

3 minutes ago, alex said:

Jesus the front must be coming through here. It’s like whiteout conditions 

Here too.  Happy Holiday season to you guys and the kids!

[Kitz Craver]

14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

HRRR remains quite aggressive for tomorrow night into Sat

Norlun?

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

Norlun?

yeah has a nice little axis of precipitation from E CT on east

[wxeyeNH]

Extreme snow squall in progress.  Captured this image from my neighbor's webcam.  Right now vis is 1/16th of a mile.  When I can't see the other side of my pasture we know that heavy rates are happening.

 

[dendrite]

Ripping +SHSN

[Chrisrotary12]

16 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

trust me when I say that you didn't miss much. about 5 mins of snow, nothing crazy, with 0.000000000000 accumulating

Yep.

10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Extreme snow squall in progress.  Captured this image from my neighbor's webcam.  Right now vis is 1/16th of a mile.  When I can't see the other side of my pasture we know that heavy rates are happening.

 

Moore, OK called and want their storm back

[klw]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Hiking Lafayette in my yoga pants and tevas tonight. Wish me luck. 

Don't forget your selfie stick!

[jculligan]

Had a brief dusting with the first round of snow showers about 45 minutes ago. Enough to log a "trace" for the day but not measurable. But it did lower the temp from 40F to 31F very quickly. Sun is back out now but perhaps a more legitimate squall appears to be approaching from the west.

[Typhoon Tip]

interesting.   the 12z EPS has as far as I can tell, completely evacuated the mid month Rosby rollout/warm up.  This mean centered on the 17th ( for ex) bears no signature of that any longer

[SouthCoastMA]

shield your eyes, it's hideous

https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13/12/246

[WinterWolf]

Lol…don’t tell that to the snow stake at Mansfield this year.  

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

shield your eyes, it's hideous

https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13/12/246

This is all likely true in this paper ... but it certainly isn't true this year  - for now..

I mean, a persistent snow pack, squalls in the air ... and possible refit event 108 or so hours out in models that have others through the 20th ... to mention, a -20 something anomaly plume here on the doorstep, these are all hallmarks of an above normal winter expression.

As an aside, I'm reminded ... I thought back in early September this has a shot at a front loaded winter.   Not sure this quite yet qualifies... but at the time I said either that, or a quasi one anyway. 

I just get the feel that it's done in January this year, though.   Flower February?  I'm sure I just triggered a salvo of responses, either why that's not true posts, are a bunch of truly intellectually inspiring shit emojis ...  but we'll let all that and see what happens in due time.

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This is all likely true in this paper ... but it certainly isn't true this year  - for now..

I mean, a persistent snow pack, squalls in the air ... and possible refit event 108 or so hours out with -20 anomaly plume in between are all hallmarks of an above normal winter expression.

As an aside, I'm reminded ... I thought back in early September this has a shot at a front loaded winter.   Not sure this quite yet qualifies... but at the time I said either that, or a quasi one anyway. 

I just get the feel that it's done in January this year.   Flower February

Yeah I agree the early part of this winter likely won't be representative of the trends documented. 

[UnitedWx]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lot of nickel and dimes but it wouldn’t take much to get a little heftier on one of them. The Dec 11-12 could end up bigger. 

Nickle and dimes are fine if we keep pumping them in, and manage a few decent size events as in 1995-'96.  Is that too much to ask for... 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Yeah I agree this early part of winter likely won't be representative of the trends documented. 

I added to that... some for amusement some of thoughts

[CoastalWx]

Some really nice snow squalls up in New Hampshire today.

[ORH_wxman]

18z NAM in clown range looking pretty decent again for Sunday night. Maybe we can slowly trend this into at least a measurable event for a lot of folks. Beats nothing. 

[WE GOT HIM]

its cold out there

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

15 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

shield your eyes, it's hideous

https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13/12/246

Tip is right that this year probably isn’t representative of this, and I know how he feels about it, so what I’m about to say is in general and not directed towards him at all.

I think on this topic people have insane recency bias. Like, it’s been cold for the last 12 hours, or Mansfield had a good snow week last week, so that somehow negates the years and years of building evidence to the contrary.

its important to look big picture 

[ineedsnow]

Been getting some good burst of snow on and off the last hour or so

[mahk_webstah]

One of the more tense and long lasting snow squalls went for a walk and the visibility was less than an eighth of a mile for sure. Check my snow stack in a clearing in the woods and I was surprised to find that there’s 9 inches on the ground. 

[weathafella]

Riding through some heavy squall snow about 20 miles east of Syracuse.  West of Rochester to Syracuse was dicey.

[SouthCoastMA]

34 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Tip is right that this year probably isn’t representative of this, and I know how he feels about it, so what I’m about to say is in general and not directed towards him at all.

I think on this topic people have insane recency bias. Like, it’s been cold for the last 12 hours, or Mansfield had a good snow week last week, so that somehow negates the years and years of building evidence to the contrary.

its important to look big picture 

On that point, the last 5 years have been so bad that we might actually do well relative to that span over the next 5, despite the overall decline over the long term. We shall see