Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall

[NorthHillsWx]

Unfortunately it is coming in at peak strength and with some forward speed meaning that eastern side will maximize wind gusts. Dire situation in Jamaica. Coming in daylight, maybe Josh can get the stadium captured. This is going to be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls in history.

[Interstate]

47 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

We may have landfall just after noon, perhaps by 1PM EDT. Trying to approximate this while considering that the forward motion is also slowly increasing as well.
 

It is moving now... I think it makes landfall before noon.

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Unfortunately it is coming in at peak strength and with some forward speed meaning that eastern side will maximize wind gusts. Dire situation in Jamaica. Coming in daylight, maybe Josh can get the stadium captured. This is going to be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls in history.

If I ever had that chance I would have my drone for the eye to punch above any low clouds to get the stadium.

[AdamHLG]

Any other good cam links near landfall besides this one (and which of the cams on this link is closest to landfall)?  https://laurentviewer.netlify.app

 

 

[Windspeed]

It is moving now... I think it makes landfall before noon.

Yeah, I won't disagree. Motion is gaining. Perhaps just inside of three hours.

[NeonPeon]

What has always fascinated me about hurricanes is the combination of unbelievable strength and fragility. This one was sure to be devastating when land falling but on several occasions I thought it was definitely going to at least temporarily weaken slightly  and instead several times it has actually just deepened. The long loop of this hurricane is a meandering buzzsaw.

[eyewall]

Just now, AdamHLG said:

Any other good cam links near landfall besides this one (and which of the cams on this link is closest to landfall)?  https://laurentviewer.netlify.app

 

 

I assume anything in the core will not remain online at all.

[cptcatz]

The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane was the only Atlantic hurricane to make landfall below 900 mb, which hit at 892. This can very well be the strongest ever to make landfall.

[LP08]

Hopefully we get this recon video. Full loop around

[Interstate]

Looks like there was just a nice gravity wave.

[Cold Miser]

8 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Jaw on floor

 

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Holy shit. Wow.

Can someone please explain what that graphic is showing?

Thanks.

[nycwinter]

we have seen many time sin the past decade where hurricanes did not weaken on approach to land harvey and michael for example..

[Nibor]

Just now, Cold Miser said:

 

Can someone please explain what that graphic is showing?

Thanks.

Aircraft recon flew in circles around in the eye.

[MarkO]

893.5 mb first pass

[str8liner]

Wow, is that the most perfectly symmetrical hurricane ever? Been following these for years and don't recall any that perfect. The way it meandered around in the same area, never weakened, and continued to strengthen is amazing. Takes perfect conditions for that to happen. 

[Windspeed]

we have seen many time sin the past decade where hurricanes did not weaken on approach to land harvey and michael for example..

Jamaica doesn't really have much of a shallow shelf. Heat content is high at depth not far from the shore. A positive is that this mitigates surge to the harbors and bays. Still probably looking at 13 to 15 ft somewhere where the SE eyewall comes ashore.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

 

Can someone please explain what that graphic is showing?

Thanks.

That image is showing the aircraft flying and taking measurements. The pressure is extrapolated to the surface from that flight level at that exact location, so not directly measured. But still 893mb is extremely deep and rare. 

[LP08]

896 is the official measurement they are going with it looks like.

[Windspeed]

Waiting on the dropsonde.

[HKY_WX]

I'm sure Josh or another chaser has a handheld barometer onsite. If so, we could have ground truth of the strongest or 2nd strongest landfall ever in the Atlantic basin. At least in recorded history.

[CTWeatherFreak]

9am   896mb, 180mph

[TPAwx]

9:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 28
Location: 17.6°N 78.1°W
Moving: NNE at 7 mph
Min pressure: 896 mb
Max sustained: 180 mph

[LP08]

another loop.  Never seen anything like it.

[hawkeye_wx]

Recon continues to circle around inside the eye.

[Cold Miser]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That image is showing the aircraft flying and taking measurements. The pressure is extrapolated to the surface from that flight level at that exact location, so not directly measured. But still 893mb is extremely deep and rare. 

Thank you.

[Windspeed]

Recon continues to circle around inside the eye.

They may be filming and taking additional dropsonde data. This is getting into historical territory, considering it's going to landfall at this intensity.

[Windspeed]

I'm sure Josh or another chaser has a handheld barometer onsite. If so, we could have ground truth of the strongest or 2nd strongest landfall ever in the Atlantic basin. At least in recorded history.

Josh has instruments staged.

[wxeyeNH]

16 minutes ago, eyewall said:

If I ever had that chance I would have my drone for the eye to punch above any low clouds to get the stadium.

Long time no see.... Yup, that would be a drone video that has never been done and it would go viral.

[beanskip]

Sixth lowest pressure ever recorded in the Atlantic basin.

Only one hurricane (Labor Day Keys storm of 1935) has ever made landfall sub-900 (892 mb).

[BretWx]

No words.