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18 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Low of 33 at NYC. Even with partly cloudy sky’s all night. That’s a cold airmass to our north 

Pretty weak CAA this fall so far with most of the cooler mornings having lighter winds and radiational cooling. NYC needs a old fashioned cold front with strong NW flow to make it to freezing this time of year. The CAA looks more impressive behind the cold front on Friday. So even if the winds slacken by morning, NYC could see it’s first freeze on Saturday.

 

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15 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

Cold Air Advection sounds too formal (especially for "cooler than normal" temperatures)?

true-models have been mostly overdone with the cold air this fall in the medium to longer range.     Thanksgiving was originally progged to be in the 30's and low 40's and we are now looking at highs in the low 50's.

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1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

true-models have been mostly overdone with the cold air this fall in the medium to longer range.     Thanksgiving was originally progged to be in the 30's and low 40's and we are now looking at highs in the low 50's.

That’s because the artic shot got delayed until this weekend 

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Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 73 (1931)
NYC: 74 (1900)
LGA: 69 (1991)


Lows:

EWR: 18 (1987)
NYC: 16 (1879)
LGA:  20 (1987)

Historical:

 

1798 - A four day storm was in progress in the northeastern U.S. The storm dropped a foot of snow on New York City and New Haven, and as much as three feet in Maine and New Hampshire. The snowstorm ushered in a long and severe winter, in some places the ground remained covered with snow until the following May. (David Ludlum)

1967 - Excessive rains in southern California caused the most severe flooding and the most damaging mmud slidesin 33 years. Downtown Los Angeles received eight inches of rain, and 14 inches fell in the mountains. (David Ludlum)

1985 - Hurricane Kate made landfall during the evening hours near Mexico Beach, FL. Wind gusts to 100 mph were reported at Cape San Blas FL. It was the latest known hurricane to hit the U.S. so far north. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Squalls in the Lower Great Lakes Region and the Upper Ohio Valley produced 14 inches of snow at Snowshoe WV, and nearly eight inches at Syracuse NY. Eleven cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 21 degrees at Pinson AL, 9 degrees at Syracuse NY, and 8 degrees at Binghamton NY. Gale force winds lash the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast, and the strong northwesterly winds produced wind chill readings as cold as 30 degrees below zero. Winds gusting to 60 mph at Trumansburg NY toppled a chimney onto a nearby truck. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - High winds accompanied rain and snow in the northeastern U.S. Caribou ME received eight inches of snow in six hours, and Fort Kent ME was blanketed with a total of fourteen inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - The storm which produced thunderstorms and high winds in the northeastern U.S. the previous day, produced snow and high winds in New England, with blizzard conditions reported in Maine. Winds gusted to 55 mph at Boston MA, and reached 58 mph at Augusta ME, and hurricane force winds were reported off the coast of Maine. Snowfall totals ranged up to 18 inches at Vanceboro ME, with 17 inches at South Lincoln VT. There were thirty-five sstormrelated injuries in Maine. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

 

1992: The November 21st – 23rd tornado outbreak was the 3rd largest outbreak in recorded history and one of the longest continuous outbreaks ever recorded. There was no break in tornado activity from 1:30 pm on the 21st when the tornadoes started in Texas until 7:30 am on the 23rd when the last tornadoes lifted in North Carolina. On this date, severe thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes within 70 minutes in the Houston metro area in Texas. At one time, there were three on the ground in Harris County. The strongest, an F4, tracked 20 miles through the eastern suburbs of Houston destroying 200 homes and damaging 1,000 more. In total, 23 tornadoes struck Mississippi and Alabama. An F4 tornado killed 12 people on a 128-mile track through 7 Mississippi counties. The deadliest tornado of 1992, an F4 tornado killed 12 people on a 128-mile path through 7 counties in Mississippi, one of the bodies was blown a quarter mile into a tree.

 

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2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

That’s because the artic shot got delayed until this weekend 

enough already they’re pushing a narrative. It’s 41° out at noon. They’re looking at specific days and saying it’s not as cold as it was supposed to be. it absolutely is. the models just don’t know the day of the week to the exact perfection that they would like. 

 

Another night well below freezing I haven’t seen a November this cold in a long time.

 

AND… starting Friday there’s a distinct possibility of an extended period of time where every night is below freezing for the suburbs.

 

 

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42 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

Looksd like virga (snow) over western Jersey?

There is light snow falling up along I84 in NE PA.  This is a quick light burst and precip has already changed over to rain back around Wilkes Barre and Hazleton.  The place to be for this one for snow is mainly going to be northern NE.

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32 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

There is light snow falling up along I84 in NE PA.  This is a quick light burst and precip has already changed over to rain back around Wilkes Barre and Hazleton.  The place to be for this one for snow is mainly going to be northern NE.

Sitting at 32/18 here with that band approaching. Should see our first flakes of the season 

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