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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

There's 2 months of summer left though more like 3 with recent September heat. 

There is something  traumatizing  to me about losing sunshine and warmth on the week of the longest days of the year. Sure i can handle a couple of days but now likely 10 straight days of clouds with showers probably in half of them. Screams summertime  eh?

 

When you lost June like we have it puts alot of pressure on July to deliver. Haven't  had one legit beech weekend and now this is 5th weekend of summer season now 33% over

 

I would also hate 60s for  Christmas 

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71/70 tropics arrives.  Cloudy drizzle although some breaks and clearing pushing into S/C NJ northward.  0.41in the bucket so far.  Peristent southerly flow with trough into the GL and Ohio Valley Sat (6/24) - Fri (6/30).  TX/ Southern plains and rockies ridge pushing heats into the south.   Humid, mostly cloudy although some breaks in the clouds will remind some of what the sun looks like.  Warm overall and nea normal due mainly to night time lows and by way of high humidity.  Rain should push >2 inches for the area with spots getting >5 inches where slow moving storms develop.   Where and when the sun comes out for length should push the temps into the mid upper 80s and outside chance of 90.  

Beyond there and Holiday July 4th weekend.  Looks warmer with continued storms chances.  Pieces of the heat from the TX/Southern plains will eject east and the goes more westerly by the 2nd and should allow for the area to heat up for the holiday.  Overall looking warm and still potentially stormy.  Heights elevated into the east coast.  Western Atlantic ridge building west.

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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It’s fairly typical for developing El Niños to feature a cooler June. The list below is the coolest Junes so far since 1981. The El Niño years are bolded.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 23
Missing Count
1 2003-06-23 64.9 0
2 2009-06-23 65.9 0
3 1998-06-23 67.0 0
4 1982-06-23 67.1 0
5 2023-06-23 68.6 0
- 1997-06-23 68.6 0
6 2002-06-23 69.0 0
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26 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

There is something  traumatizing  to me about losing sunshine and warmth on the week of the longest days of the year. Sure i can handle a couple of days but now likely 10 straight days of clouds with showers probably in half of them. Screams summertime  eh?

 

When you lost June like we have it puts alot of pressure on July to deliver. Haven't  had one legit beech weekend and now this is 5th weekend of summer season now 33% over

 

I would also hate 60s for  Christmas 

Completely agree. I get the need for rain but this persistent cloud cover in June is terrible. These stuck patterns are becoming more frequent in recent years.

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Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 97 (1966)
NYC: 96 (1988)
LGA: 96 (2013)

Low:


EWR: 49 (1932)
NYC: 52 (1932)
LGA: 53 (1947)

Historical: 

 

1816 - The cold weather of early June finally gave way to several days of 90 degree heat in Massachusetts, including a reading of 99 degrees at Salem. (David Ludlum)

1924 - Six men at a rock quarry south of Winston-Salem, NC, sought shelter from a thunderstorm. The structure chosen contained a quantity of dynamite. Lightning struck a near-by tree causing the dynamite to explode. The men were killed instantly. (The Weather Channel)

1951 - Twelve inches of hail broke windows and roofs, and dented automobiles, causing more than fourteen million dollars damage. The storm plowed 200 miles from Kingmand County KS into Missouri, with the Wichita area hardest hit. It was the most disastrous hailstorm of record for the state of Kansas. (David Ludlum)

1952 - Thunderstorms produced a swath of hail 60 miles long and 3.5 miles wide through parts of Hand, Beadle, Kingsbury, Miner and Jerauld counties in South Dakota. Poultry and livestock were killed, and many persons were injured. Hail ten inches in circumference was reported at Huron SD. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes in eastern Colorado. Baseball size hail was reported near Yoder, CO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 92 mph derailed a train near Pratt, KS. The town of Gould, OK, was soaked with nearly an inch and a half of rain in just ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Forty-three cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Valentine NE reported an all-time record high of 110 degrees, and highs of 102 degrees at Casper, WY, 103 degrees at Reno, NV, and 106 degrees at Winnemucca, NV, were records for the month of June. Highs of 98 degrees at Logan, UT, and 109 degrees at Rapid City, SD, equalled June records. Lightning killed twenty-one cows near Conway, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from Colorado and New Mexico to Kansas and Nebraska. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Wood River, NE, and hail three inches in diameter at Wheeler, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

 

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15 hours ago, bluewave said:

It’s actually the coolest June in Philly since 2009 and 3rd overall coolest since 2000.

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 22
Missing Count
1 2003-06-22 68.0 0
2 2009-06-22 69.2 0
3 2023-06-22 69.3 0
4 2004-06-22 71.2 0
5 2000-06-22 71.4 0

The ranking thru 6/22 is irrelevant to my point. How PHL ends the month is what was actually addressed.

PHL is currently 69.2 degree for the month, projecting out the remainder of the month based on the current forecast PHL would end up at 70.6 degrees. If so that would represent the coolest June since 1985.


It's not out of the question PHL ends up with the coolest June since 1985

 

 

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11 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

The ranking thru 6/22 is irrelevant to my point. How PHL ends the month is what was actually addressed.

PHL is currently 69.2 degree for the month, projecting out the remainder of the month based on the current forecast PHL would end up at 70.6 degrees. If so that would represent the coolest June since 1985.


It's not out of the question PHL ends up with the coolest June since 1985

 

 

70.6 is much closer to 2009 than 1985. But I see what you are saying. 

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1903 65.8 0
2 1907 66.8 0
3 1881 67.3 0
4 1878 67.4 0
5 1958 67.8 0
6 1916 67.9 0
7 1926 68.0 0
8 1977 68.6 0
- 1927 68.6 0
1982 68.7 0
- 1972 68.7 0
10 1985 68.8 0
11 1897 68.9 0
12 1979 69.0 0
13 2023 69.2 7
- 1955 69.2 0
- 1946 69.2 0
14 1924 69.3 0
15 1886 69.5 0
16 1915 69.6 0
- 1910 69.6 0
17 1947 69.7 0
- 1918 69.7 0
18 1928 69.8 0
19 1961 69.9 0
20 1965 70.0 0
21 1974 70.3 0
- 1902 70.3 0
- 1896 70.3 0
- 1875 70.3 0
22 1963 70.4 0
23 1980 70.6 0
- 1960 70.6 0
24 1950 70.7 0
- 1912 70.7 0
25 1905 70.8 0
- 1904 70.8 0
26 2009 71.1 0
- 1997 71.1 0
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1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said:

Personally this has been the nicest May/June that I can recall in sometime in terms of low humidity and a good diurnal range. Granted now we need rain. 
 

Have no fear summer lovers, heat/humidity are on the way; they always are. 

Yeah I'm not sure what people are complaining about. 2009 and some early 2000s summers were far worse than this. 

Looks pretty summery for July too. More 85-90 and high dew type stuff versus last years 95-100+ weather. 

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38 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

.16” in wantagh and .14” in Manhattan. The inevitable screw zone continues. There has to be a geographic/orographic reasoning behind this consistent result.  

Daily convection doesn’t favor our area because the marine layer kills it, the first wave was squashed by confluence and the one overnight looks like it went too far east/otherwise failed for most when just about every model had heavy rain. Like I said I’m not following what any model says. Until the heavy rain is on my doorstep I wouldn’t expect anything. If we keep this same pattern for a while maybe one of these waves can develop a MCS or something that can rain here eventually but I’d expect the bulk of any rain to be over NJ/E PA/Hudson Valley. 

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34 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Outdoor party in islip today

Forecast looking a lot drier? 

Outdoor graduation party here for this afternoon, moved inside for now but still can't call if outside is doable. Went from rain likely to 30 - 50% tops chance of a shower. Gonna be some upset ppl if cramped inside and the sun is shining at 430pm. 

A lot of tough calls at a busy time of yr. Friday am outdoor graduation intended to get ahead of heavy rain ended up being a soaker

 

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