Stormlover74 Posted June 23, 2023 Author Share Posted June 23, 2023 16 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I'm wondering if, once we get into July, if we were to take the January 2023 average temperature and compare it to the June 2023 average temperature, if the delta would be among the smallest in recorded NYC history. Seems like, with a few exceptions of course, the weather has been calling for the same light coat each morning, all year. Must be. June was only 26 degrees warmer than January. Average would be closer to 39 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 2 hours ago, STORMANLI said: Glad I watered garden. Only received .03" of -RA and -DZ. As was the case during last year's dry August, birds cleaned out the gutters looking for water. If WPC has a better handle then maybe 2" + Sun night through Thurs night. From the confluence brick wall to the Hudson River brick wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: From the confluence brick wall to the Hudson River brick wall. I tend to agree with a somewhat bullish forecast for showers and storms over most of the NYC Metro this weekend. With dew points slowly rising if the sun breaks out for just a little with the lift moving in the atmosphere should destabilize and showers and storms should pop. I think over time these shower and storms will affect the entire region but not necessarily inland areas at the same time as coastal areas. Also, I'm beginning to get a feeling we may actually see a day or two of heat interrupt this gloomy pattern sometime on or just after the July 4th weekend. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 I'm going down to Philly this weekend and I'm hoping the storms can hold off down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 3 hours ago, SI Mailman said: I'm going down to Philly this weekend and I'm hoping the storms can hold off down there. That’s the storm capital of the east coast. So, doubtful. If you stayed around here you have a much better chance of precip fail! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 So is it actually going to rain this time or is it gonna be another .02 kinda thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Very little 90+ potential over next 10+ days. Monday had a chance but models have backed off. More high dew driven warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 The last 8 days of June are averaging 76degs.(67/85) or +1. {EURO is 5 degs. less and wetter} Month to date is 68.7[-2.2]. June should end near 70.7[-1.1]. Reached 73 here yesterday. Today: 72-76, wind e. to se., cloudy, Rain late, 68 tomorrow AM. 65*(92%RH) here at 7am{was 64 at 6am}. 67* at 9am. 69* at Noon. 71* at 1pm. Reached 72* at 7pm. Most of PM at 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Very little 90+ potential over next 10+ days. Monday had a chance but models have backed off. More high dew driven warmth. Still feels chilly outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 66 / 62 the progression from the So Cal Marine desert to the tropics (Florida style) has occurred. Fri - Fri (6/30) overall southerly flow, humid, lots of clouds warm and plenty of showers/storms some of which will be slow moving soakers. Overall would expect >2 inches for most and some spots >5 inches in the 7 day period. Warm 850s >16c on a southerly flow will warm quickly where and when there is sun temps could soar to the upper 80s perhaps a stray 90. Focus on storms Sat (6/24) evening , Mon (6/26) evening and Wed (6/28). Beyond there going into the holiday weekend Southern Rockies Plains and TX robust ridge releases pieces of the stronger heat and look a see a day to two of that here as flow goes more Westerly. Still looks to remain humid, and potential stormy. Will have to refine the fourth of July forecast. Western Atlantic ridge moving west the first week. overall warm, humid and rain (storms) potential. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 7 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I tend to agree with a somewhat bullish forecast for showers and storms over most of the NYC Metro this weekend. With dew points slowly rising if the sun breaks out for just a little with the lift moving in the atmosphere should destabilize and showers and storms should pop. I think over time these shower and storms will affect the entire region but not necessarily inland areas at the same time as coastal areas. Also, I'm beginning to get a feeling we may actually see a day or two of heat interrupt this gloomy pattern sometime on or just after the July 4th weekend. WX/PT Agree on rain performing or exceeding - usual exceeds on this type of prolonged southerly flow. A few days in and flood watches will be the discussion with slow moving storms caught alof t in stagnant flow. Think the 2nd or 3rd could be the hotter days as it looks now but models have been a bit poor beyond day 4/5. Tendency is to have that weakness into the east until we get the W. atl Ridge to back in. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1965) NYC: 96 (1888) LGA: 95 (1965) Lows: EWR: 51 (1992) NYC: 49 (1918) LGA: 53 (1940) Historical: 1902 - The temperature at Volcano Springs, CA, soared to 129 degrees to set a June record for the U.S. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1944 - Four tornadoes killed 153 persons and caused five million dollars damage in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Maryland. The tornadoes formed during the evening and moved southeast along parallel paths flattening everything in their way. The town of Shinnston WV was leveled, and was left with the majority of the casualities. Until that time it was believed that damaging tornadoes did not travel across mountainous terrain. (David Ludlum) 1957 - A few miles west of Fort Stockton TX, softball size hail injured 21 persons unable to find shelter, mostly farm laborers. Some livestock were killed. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A massive hailstorm hit eastern Colorado causing an estimated 60 to 70 million dollars damage. At La Junta, CO, hail as large as softballs caused 37 million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirty-four cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The reading of 90 degrees at Bluefield, WV, equalled their record for the month of June. The record high of 104 degrees at Billings, MT, was their thirteenth of the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Six cities in the High Plains Region reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 38 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms in the eastern U.S. deluged New Castle County, DE, with 2.5 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Yay some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Still feels chilly outside I think the next 90+ potential comes during the July 2nd-5th time-frame but that doesn't mean we'll definitely get there. But I do think we have a shot at upper 80s to lower 90s over that time. Initially it looks as though the winds might again be too southerly so honing in on and hoping for July 4th, 5th. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 23, 2023 Author Share Posted June 23, 2023 Tropical downpours now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Tropical downpours now Just had a decent little downpour here, but too small/brief to give any meaningful rain. Hoping to get some heavy rain today or this weekend, but the activity is gonna be scattered so who knows. HRRR says most of the activity will stay west of our area today and tomorrow, but hopefully we'll get lucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Where is this massive pall of dense surface smoke expected to travel? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Some strange liquid falling from the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 I had to alert the authorities of this strange liquid falling from the sky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 12 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Some strange liquid falling from the sky Good morning Rmine. Strange or not it’s good to see. I doubt there will be a run on Ark wood at Lowe’s or Home Depot. Stay well, as always …… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, rclab said: Good morning Rmine. Strange or not it’s good to see. I doubt there will be a run on Ark wood at Lowe’s or Home Depot. Stay well, as always …… Stupidly I followed the models and rounded up two of every kind of animal earlier in the week! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 yay it rained :/ can we get some sun now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 Again, temperatures are going to warm for the July 2nd-5th time-frame. I think it will be just be a question of how much of the rain and associated clouds with all these disturbances moving across the country affects us as to whether or not we can get into the upper 80s to lower 90s during this time frame. If we can dry out for a couple of days, maybe the 4th/5th, we could have a shot at 90. If clouds and rain persists, we will not have a shot at 90...maybe low-mid 80s. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 I've picked up .20" so far today on my way to my goal of 2" by next Thursday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Rmine1 said: Some strange liquid falling from the sky Finally, liquid snow! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 27 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Again, temperatures are going to warm for the July 2nd-5th time-frame. I think it will be just be a question of how much of the rain and associated clouds with all these disturbances moving across the country affects us as to whether or not we can get into the upper 80s to lower 90s during this time frame. If we can dry out for a couple of days, maybe the 4th/5th, we could have a shot at 90. If clouds and rain persists, we will not have a shot at 90...maybe low-mid 80s. WX/PT By that timeframe average highs across Philly / NYC metro areas are in the mid to uppers 80's so low 90's are nothing to write home about. It then becomes can we avoid the 95+ crap. Regardless of whether July & August end up following the recent torch trends this has been fantastic 2nd half of spring & segue into early summer. It's not out of the question PHL ends up with the coolest June since 1985 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 An uneventful .12 for me thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 12 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: An uneventful .12 for me thus far I got .11 from that small downpour earlier. Based on the way radar looks, it appears that HRRR is going to correct about most of the activity missing to the west today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 23, 2023 Share Posted June 23, 2023 24 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I got .11 from that small downpour earlier. Based on the way radar looks, it appears that HRRR is going to correct about most of the activity missing to the west today. Best chance for us will be overnight. Looks like some consensus for that in the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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